La escuela de los momios

SK Brann v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-04-12 17:15 UTC

Final: SK Brann 0–1 Sandefjord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.15%60.80%60.83%62.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.94%65.79%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 17.65%5.66momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.262%
Kelly +0.318%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.59%17.72%17.67%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.135.105.7522.22%19.47%19.61%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.52%4.65momio equitativo
EV +0.048%
Ventaja +0.010%
Kelly +0.013%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.62%21.48%21.49%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.214.204.6527.78%23.78%23.81%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.88%EV +1.51%E +0.262%K +0.318%G +0.005%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV +0.048%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.17%EV -0.963%E -0.172%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.08%EV -1.67%E -0.366%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.14%E -0.203%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:01
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.90%E -0.528%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.90%E -0.528%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:00
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.48%EV -3.43%E -0.628%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -3.18%E -0.707%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:01
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -5.55%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -5.55%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.55%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.44%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.48%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 17:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.41%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.60%EV -10.06%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.48%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.56%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 17:01
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.32%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -8.20%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 17:05
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -8.15%E -5.39%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -8.20%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.24%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.24%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:30
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:01
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.97%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:58
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.84%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:01
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.15%E -5.39%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 17:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.79%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 17:01
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.79%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:01
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -16.09%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -11.73%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.54%E -6.26%K -8.67%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.94%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -13.50%E -2.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.15%EV -10.71%E -2.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 16:59
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.30%EV -11.80%E -8.13%K -26.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -13.50%E -2.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -13.94%E -3.48%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -15.26%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -5.33%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -11.19%E -7.66%K -24.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -15.26%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -12.86%E -3.18%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.79%E -4.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.79%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 17:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -20.56%E -4.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.63%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.32%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-12 17:01