La escuela de los momios

SK Brann v Rosenborg

2026-08-02 17:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

33 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Predicción 54.87%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -5.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.43%54.97%54.59%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.681.681.7563.29%59.65%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV +0.188%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.98%21.94%22.16%23.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.104.5527.78%24.25%24.39%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.11%4.33momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.09%23.25%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.953.954.2027.40%25.29%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%EV +0.188%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.80%EV -3.19%E -0.761%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 18:45
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -2.01%E -0.453%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 18:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.11%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.11%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:40
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.11%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.66%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 18:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:10
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 17:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 18:10
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 17:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 18:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -13.02%E -3.30%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.48%EV -11.65%E -7.24%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.32%EV -13.46%E -3.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.20%EV -12.66%E -3.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.12%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-26 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.97%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -17.43%E -4.65%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.43%EV -13.30%E -8.42%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.45%EV -20.73%E -5.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.13%EV -15.66%E -4.29%K -5.91%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.