Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SK Brann v Lillestrom

Início: 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC

Final: SK Brann 1–2 Lillestrom

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SK Brann (Local)

Previsão 51.04%1.96odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.61%51.17%50.91%53.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.811.9158.14%55.50%55.25%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lillestrom (Visitante)

Previsão 25.08%3.99odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.487%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.06%25.04%25.15%26.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.683.703.9330.77%27.20%27.03%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.88%4.19odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -0.673%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.41%23.80%23.94%24.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.863.904.1027.40%25.90%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SK Brann (Local): 51.04%; Lillestrom (Visitante): 25.08%; Empate: 23.88%. Para Lillestrom (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.99. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.93, com valor esperado de -1.43%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 13:25
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.49%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.05%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:45
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.54%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -1.43%E -0.363%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -5.91%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 05:38
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:10
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -3.68%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -2.33%E -0.569%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 16:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 12:45
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.18%E -0.559%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.18%E -0.559%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 14:55
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:07
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:10
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:39
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:39
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -3.68%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.03%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 18:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 18:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -9.15%E -5.14%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.71%EV -9.15%E -5.14%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.21%EV -10.21%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 07:04
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -9.67%E -5.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.09%E -0.509%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -9.67%E -5.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 07:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.36%EV -10.18%E -5.78%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.20%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 04:35
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.36%EV -11.20%E -6.43%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 04:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 04:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -18.48%E -5.69%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.22%E -7.10%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -2.09%E -0.509%K -0.673%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%4.5%2026-09-04 14:20