La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-09-20 17:16 UTC

Final: SK Brann 2–1 Bodø/Glimt

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SK Brann (Local)

Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.419%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.45%19.43%19.36%21.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.704.755.0725.00%21.26%21.05%19.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 61.17%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.89%61.14%61.20%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.511.6169.44%66.29%66.23%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.44%5.14momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.020%
Kelly +0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.75%19.43%19.43%21.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.694.705.1523.09%21.32%21.28%19.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SK Brann (Local): 19.39%; Bodø/Glimt (Visitante): 61.17%; Empate: 19.44%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.14. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.103%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 19.24%EV -2.09%E -0.414%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.87%EV +0.103%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 15:29
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -2.48%E -0.493%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.28%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 17:05
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.76%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -5.97%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.63%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -5.73%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:54
BetAnything🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:54
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:14
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:59
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:20
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.33%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.69%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.66%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.67%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:00
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.67%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:49
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.67%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.67%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 15:12
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:00
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -6.94%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.45%EV -8.85%E -5.94%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:49
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.88%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.85%E -5.94%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.88%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.85%E -5.94%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 16:54
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.10%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 16:54
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.10%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.11%EV -8.85%E -5.94%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 17:00
Betsson🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.30%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.25%EV -9.62%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:59
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.06%E -0.612%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 15:11
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 16:43
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.76%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -7.63%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 17:00
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -12.76%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.07%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -12.76%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.07%EV -11.30%E -7.79%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -12.76%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.24%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 16:54
1xBet🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -1.70%E -0.336%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -11.36%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 17:14
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -11.56%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 16:59
GTbets🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.09%EV -8.49%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.89%EV -1.51%E -0.937%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.02%EV -12.34%E -2.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:15
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 17:13
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.05%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.05%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.05%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:20
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -16.05%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:19
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -7.91%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -13.73%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.84%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 17:00
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -22.45%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-20 17:02
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:11
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.82%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.53%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -15.45%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.76%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.84%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-09-20 17:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-09-20 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-09-20 17:09
Matchbook◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-09-20 17:09
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.19%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%1.8%2026-09-20 17:09