Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sarpsborg FK v Sandefjord

Início: 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Final: Sarpsborg FK 1–2 Sandefjord

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Previsão 52.96%1.89odd justa
EV -4.67%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -5.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.35%52.94%52.74%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.11%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Previsão 23.90%4.18odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +0.537%
Kelly +0.701%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.68%23.87%24.14%25.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.813.754.2828.57%26.25%26.67%23.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.14%4.32odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.559%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.62%23.19%23.12%24.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.923.904.2227.03%25.51%25.64%23.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 52.96%; Sandefjord (Visitante): 23.90%; Empate: 23.14%. Para Sandefjord (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.18. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.28, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.93%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.68%EV +2.30%E +0.537%K +0.701%G +0.016%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -3.98%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 07:49
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.04%EV -5.20%E -2.91%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +0.387%E +0.092%K +0.121%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.92%EV -2.36%E -0.559%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.14%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.14%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.14%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.00%E -0.488%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.14%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.20%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.14%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.44%E -5.52%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.97%E -5.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 08:19
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.33%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV -3.52%E -0.843%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:48
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -9.30%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 16:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.97%E -5.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.74%EV -11.03%E -6.56%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.57%EV -8.46%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.68%EV -7.91%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:44
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 08:29
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.40%EV -10.50%E -6.21%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -8.61%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.97%E -5.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:10
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:09
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:09
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 04:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.97%E -5.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.37%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -11.56%E -3.13%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.45%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.56%E -3.13%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.76%E -3.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 19:09
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.97%E -5.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -8.61%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -13.95%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.63%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.15%E -4.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -11.56%E -6.92%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.08%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 14:47
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-08-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-08-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-08-16 14:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-16 14:55