Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sandefjord v Viking FK

Início: 2026-09-04 19:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 1–1 Viking FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sandefjord (Local)

Previsão 23.78%4.21odd justa
EV -0.133%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.88%23.68%23.81%24.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.923.924.2028.57%25.53%25.51%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viking FK (Visitante)

Previsão 53.40%1.87odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -4.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.84%53.50%53.38%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.731.8161.73%57.82%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.82%4.38odd justa
EV -0.735%
Vantagem -0.169%
Kelly -0.219%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.68%22.83%22.81%24.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.004.004.3527.03%24.99%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sandefjord (Local): 23.78%; Viking FK (Visitante): 53.40%; Empate: 22.82%. Para Sandefjord (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.21. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.20, com valor esperado de -0.133%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -0.133%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.89%E -7.20%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.44%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:50
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:19
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:20
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:25
Coolbet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.74%EV -2.75%E -0.672%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.94%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.735%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -2.99%E -0.732%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.61%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%EV -5.30%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:00
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%EV -3.70%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.37%EV -0.963%E -0.222%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Pinnacle🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.97%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.67%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -1.42%E -0.329%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.48%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:25
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.48%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:09
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.48%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 04:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.44%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.710%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 05:10
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.75%E -5.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:09
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.36%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.58%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -7.58%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -7.58%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:34
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.01%E -3.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.44%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:09
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.88%EV -10.28%E -6.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.88%EV -10.28%E -6.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 10:19
GTbets🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.22%EV -6.01%E -3.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -7.12%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:20
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:14
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -8.68%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:05
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -10.82%E -6.48%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.14%E -3.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.95%EV -7.74%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.39%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.44%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -10.28%E -6.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 05:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.68%EV -11.89%E -7.20%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.29%E -3.50%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.68%EV -11.89%E -7.20%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.29%E -3.50%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 10:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.68%EV -11.89%E -7.20%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.29%E -3.50%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 10:20
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.16%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:30
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 08:35
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:35
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:34
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:34
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.14%E -3.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 05:25
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.57%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 04:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.57%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 04:55
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.57%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.57%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 04:55
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.29%E -3.50%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.15%E -4.74%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.00%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 05:15
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -16.78%E -4.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.54%EV -13.49%E -8.33%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -8.72%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-04 13:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 14:10