La escuela de los momios

Sandefjord v Kristiansund BK

Inicio: 2026-05-10 15:02 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 2–0 Kristiansund BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Predicción 57.67%1.73momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -5.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.85%57.68%57.65%59.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.94%62.89%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kristiansund BK (Visitante)

Predicción 19.89%5.03momio equitativo
EV +0.426%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.80%19.88%19.86%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.654.655.0523.81%21.51%21.51%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.368%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.78%22.43%22.49%24.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.064.104.4028.57%24.65%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.26%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV +0.426%E +0.084%K +0.105%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -0.569%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.56%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.48%EV -1.36%E -0.275%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -1.25%E -0.285%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 14:59
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.60%EV -1.56%E -0.316%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV -2.37%E -0.546%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:58
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -8.88%E -5.62%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:59
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:59
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.56%E -0.522%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:58
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.56%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.27%EV -4.35%E -0.904%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -10.03%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -4.55%E -0.947%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 15:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -10.61%E -6.85%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 15:00
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -10.61%E -6.85%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.54%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:59
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.86%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.87%EV -11.76%E -7.69%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -6.53%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 15:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:59
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:58
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:59
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.88%E -5.62%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 15:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -13.49%E -9.00%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.43%EV -13.49%E -9.00%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -9.52%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.30%EV -11.80%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 14:57
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.51%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.88%E -5.62%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.51%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -5.74%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.51%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 14:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.51%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.46%E -6.02%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -10.51%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.91%EV -13.49%E -9.00%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.52%EV -11.51%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 14:58
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -12.50%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 15:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:59
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.61%E -6.85%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -11.76%E -7.69%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.89%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -21.45%E -6.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-10 14:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.61%E -6.85%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.48%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -10.23%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -11.19%E -7.26%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -16.48%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -11.35%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-10 15:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-10 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-10 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-10 15:00
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%2.2%2026-05-10 15:00