Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sandefjord v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandefjord 0–3 Bodø/Glimt

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sandefjord (Local)

Predicción 12.89%7.76momio equitativo
EV +5.73%
Ventaja +0.699%
Kelly +0.796%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.36%12.89%12.96%14.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.187.008.2016.67%13.92%14.29%12.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 70.27%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -10.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.03%70.16%70.30%72.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.331.3780.00%75.51%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 16.84%5.94momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.335%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.03%16.95%16.73%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.285.256.0421.05%18.94%19.05%16.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sandefjord (Local): 12.89%; Bodø/Glimt (Visitante): 70.27%; Empate: 16.84%. Para Sandefjord (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.76. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.73%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +5.73%E +0.699%K +0.796%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -4.43%E -3.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -17.50%E -3.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:55
NordicBet🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +5.73%E +0.699%K +0.796%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -4.43%E -3.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -17.50%E -3.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 12.11%EV +3.28%E +0.410%K +0.468%G +0.015%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.84%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 16.06%EV +1.69%E +0.279%K +0.335%G +0.006%3.1%2026-07-26 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 12.11%EV +3.28%E +0.410%K +0.468%G +0.015%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.84%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 16.06%EV +1.69%E +0.279%K +0.335%G +0.006%3.1%2026-07-26 14:45
BetAnything🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 12.11%EV +3.28%E +0.410%K +0.468%G +0.015%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.84%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 16.06%EV +1.69%E +0.279%K +0.335%G +0.006%3.1%2026-07-26 14:45
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +3.15%E +0.394%K +0.450%G +0.014%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.37%EV -3.73%E -2.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.75%EV -14.64%E -2.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:55
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.15%E +0.394%K +0.450%G +0.014%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.35%E -0.406%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.15%E +0.394%K +0.450%G +0.014%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -11.46%E -9.09%K -44.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 14:35
Pinnacle🎯7.98I 12.53%NM 12.07%EV +2.89%E +0.363%K +0.415%G +0.012%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.84%E -4.36%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.03%EV +1.18%E +0.197%K +0.236%G +0.003%3.8%2026-07-26 14:56
SportsBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.82%EV -0.072%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.54%EV -10.05%E -7.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:35
GTbets🎯7.58I 13.19%NM 12.49%EV -2.26%E -0.299%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.14%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.37%EV -8.25%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.87%EV -3.73%E -2.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +1.01%E +0.169%K +0.203%G +0.002%3.0%2026-07-26 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 14:20
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.19%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:50
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:10
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:26
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:31
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 14:55
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -3.30%E -0.439%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.73%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:45
BetUS🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.60%EV -3.94%E -0.529%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.84%E -4.36%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -4.59%E -0.620%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.72%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:41
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -6.52%E -0.899%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.15%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -7.16%E -0.995%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.84%E -4.36%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.19%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -7.95%E -6.07%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:30
Everygame🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.65%E -6.65%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.40%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:30
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -20.03%E -4.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:35
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.74%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.05%EV -11.03%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.80%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 14:45
LeoVegas🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -12.32%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.35%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -12.97%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.70%EV -5.14%E -3.80%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.19%E -0.556%K -0.673%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.42%EV -12.97%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.50%E -3.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.42%EV -12.97%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.50%E -3.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.76%EV -14.90%E -2.26%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.45%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:30
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:30
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -6.54%E -4.92%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:30
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -15.82%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -16.19%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.47%EV -20.03%E -4.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -19.41%E -3.11%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.70%EV -7.24%E -5.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -9.09%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -22.64%E -3.77%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.12%EV -9.35%E -7.25%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -14.14%E -2.77%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-07-26 14:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-07-26 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-07-26 14:55
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.74%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.84%1.8%2026-07-26 14:55