La escuela de los momios

Rosenborg v Vålerenga

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.757%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.56%42.15%42.12%44.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.162.152.3551.28%46.33%46.51%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vålerenga (Visitante)

Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.392%
Kelly -0.579%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.29%31.83%31.85%33.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.922.903.1038.46%34.28%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.01%26.03%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.553.7132.26%28.17%28.17%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.30%EV -1.02%E -0.435%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.46%EV -4.72%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 12:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:58
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.602%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 13:00
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -2.17%E -0.707%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -3.48%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 13:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -5.23%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.95%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -5.23%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.95%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:49
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.23%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 10:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.23%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 12:15
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.65%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.89%EV -1.53%E -0.496%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 12:59
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.60%EV -5.68%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -8.69%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 06:02
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 06:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 12:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 09:00
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.43%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.45%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:49
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:49
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 12:58
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 06:05
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 06:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 10:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 12:49
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.22%E -0.392%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -2.81%E -0.921%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 11:59
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -2.81%E -0.921%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 11:59
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -2.81%E -0.921%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -2.81%E -0.921%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.12%EV -11.03%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 09:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 10:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -16.51%E -6.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.35%E -6.24%K -9.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-22 12:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -13.24%E -6.43%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 11:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -13.24%E -6.43%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.66%E -6.66%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 10:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.97%EV -14.08%E -6.90%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 11:59
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -17.87%E -9.16%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.15%E -6.60%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-22 12:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-03-22 12:50