La escuela de los momios

Rosenborg v SK Brann

Inicio: 2026-04-25 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 35.62%2.81momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.14%35.60%35.56%36.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.7441.67%38.94%38.46%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SK Brann (Visitante)

Predicción 39.06%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.99%39.01%39.13%40.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.382.382.4845.87%42.04%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%25.38%25.31%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.504.0033.33%28.37%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.83%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +1.31%E +0.326%K +0.435%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-22 20:14
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -7.04%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.54%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.94%EV +0.799%E +0.201%K +0.268%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-22 22:40
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.23%E -0.315%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 22:30
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.23%E -0.315%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 22:30
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18%EV -5.97%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.14%EV -4.70%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.68%EV -1.99%E -0.513%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.76%E -0.989%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.76%E -0.989%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -8.11%E -3.14%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:04
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:04
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -2.41%E -0.879%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -9.78%E -4.23%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.35%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 20:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 22:30
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23%EV -12.74%E -5.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.45%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 20:15
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 01:02
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 01:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 00:38
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:49
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.74%E -5.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 13:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 00:38
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.68%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:00
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 00:39
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -10.25%E -4.07%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.19%EV -14.86%E -6.81%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:08
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.89%EV -14.52%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.15%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.26%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 00:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 00:39
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -7.44%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -7.44%E -3.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 00:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-22 20:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.40%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:14
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:14
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.50%EV -11.67%E -4.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.99%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -18.96%E -5.92%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -24.02%E -8.01%K -12.01%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-23 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-04-23 15:29