La escuela de los momios

Rosenborg v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 2–2 Bodø/Glimt

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV +0.824%
Ventaja +0.158%
Kelly +0.196%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.44%19.40%19.51%20.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.764.805.2023.81%21.03%20.83%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 59.89%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%59.84%59.82%61.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.541.531.6369.93%65.14%65.36%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.72%4.83momio equitativo
EV -0.116%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%20.76%20.67%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.444.504.8227.78%22.54%22.22%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV +0.824%E +0.158%K +0.196%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.68%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -2.60%E -0.554%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Pinnacle5.11I 19.57%NM 18.91%EV -0.921%E -0.180%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.78%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.30%EV -1.36%E -0.286%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:58
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.05%E -0.611%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.27%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 17:00
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 17:00
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 16:59
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -10.77%E -7.23%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -10.77%E -7.23%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -5.96%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -5.96%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:59
1xBet4.81I 20.79%NM 19.76%EV -6.74%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.53%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -0.116%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -5.38%E -3.40%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.60%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 17:00
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 16:59
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:58
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.27%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 16:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.77%E -5.05%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 16:58
BetUS4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.77%E -5.05%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:00
Betclic (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.40%EV -10.77%E -7.23%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:58
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -14.36%E -10.04%K -33.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -9.86%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-29 16:59
GTbets4.64I 21.55%NM 20.53%EV -10.03%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.03%EV -6.13%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.82%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.23%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -10.81%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.75%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -25.40%E -7.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -13.72%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.20%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -14.00%E -3.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -14.69%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -14.69%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -14.69%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -14.69%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -12.96%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -16.63%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.07%EV -10.77%E -7.23%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -10.89%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 16:59
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -18.57%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.27%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.47%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%1.4%2026-05-29 17:00