La escuela de los momios

Molde v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-05-30 14:02 UTC

Final: Molde 2–1 Sandefjord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Molde (Local)

Predicción 57.99%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -6.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.96%58.10%59.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.591.601.6566.23%62.86%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 19.87%5.03momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.264%
Kelly +0.329%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.77%19.89%19.83%21.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.644.655.1024.39%21.55%21.51%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.14%4.52momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.426%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.50%22.15%22.07%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.094.104.4528.57%24.43%24.39%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.17%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.03%EV +1.35%E +0.264%K +0.329%G +0.004%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -1.47%E -0.330%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 13:58
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -0.640%E -0.128%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.52%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.43%EV -1.24%E -0.249%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -3.02%E -0.689%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-30 13:59
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.68%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -2.43%E -0.495%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.07%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 13:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -2.63%E -0.536%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -2.63%E -0.536%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -3.62%E -0.746%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:00
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -3.62%E -0.746%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:00
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.64%EV -3.82%E -0.789%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.45%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 13:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:59
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:59
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:52
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.61%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 13:59
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.60%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.60%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.60%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 13:59
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.60%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.27%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -7.59%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 13:58
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 13:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 13:58
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 13:59
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -8.59%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -9.58%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 13:57
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -4.13%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 13:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 13:59
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.12%EV -7.80%E -4.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 13:59
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.38%E -5.31%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 13:59
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 14:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -12.44%E -8.24%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.28%E -7.37%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -10.58%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -22.50%E -6.43%K -9.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.38%E -5.31%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.96%E -5.71%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.56%E -2.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.20%EV -11.28%E -7.37%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -14.55%E -3.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.44%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 13:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.12%E -6.53%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.54%E -3.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 13:58
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.80%EV -10.70%E -6.95%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -18.52%E -4.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-30 14:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-30 14:00