La escuela de los momios

Kristiansund BK v Viking FK

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–2 Viking FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 17.56%5.69momio equitativo
EV +0.967%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.204%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.16%17.55%17.59%19.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.205.255.7521.74%19.22%19.05%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viking FK (Visitante)

Predicción 61.58%1.62momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -8.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.57%61.56%63.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5569.93%66.94%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +0.662%
Kelly +0.830%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.61%20.88%20.85%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.384.404.9527.78%22.85%22.73%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV -1.67%E -0.298%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.05%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.61%EV +3.28%E +0.662%K +0.830%G +0.027%3.0%2026-05-24 14:20
GTbets5.37I 18.62%NM 17.69%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.49%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.83%EV -0.059%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
1xBet5.01I 19.96%NM 18.92%EV -12.03%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.16%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.92%EV -0.685%E -0.144%K -0.182%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 15:50
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV -2.02%E -0.362%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.26%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.45%EV -1.52%E -0.322%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 15:50
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.42%E -0.622%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:49
LowVig.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:50
BetOnline.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:50
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:10
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:50
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +0.967%E +0.168%K +0.204%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -9.48%E -6.45%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:30
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:29
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 15:50
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.42%E -0.622%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Betsson5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -6.06%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:50
NordicBet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -6.06%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:29
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:30
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -3.42%E -0.622%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.48%E -6.45%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -8.25%E -5.54%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 15:50
BetUS5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -8.25%E -5.54%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 15:50
BetAnything5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -8.25%E -5.54%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 15:50
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.48%E -6.45%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 15:00
TABtouch5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -9.24%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -10.71%E -7.39%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.24%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 15:48
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 15:00
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Virgin Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 15:30
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.35%EV -10.10%E -6.92%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 15:50
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.40%EV -9.48%E -6.45%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -11.33%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 15:30
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -11.33%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 15:29
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:30
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 15:50
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 15:40
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -11.95%E -8.35%K -27.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 15:30
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.72%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.07%EV -13.41%E -3.23%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.33%E -7.87%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.89%E -6.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-24 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%1.6%2026-05-24 15:50