La escuela de los momios

Kristiansund BK v HamKam

Inicio: 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–1 HamKam

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 37.06%2.70momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.26%37.14%37.07%39.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.462.452.6144.84%40.70%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HamKam (Visitante)

Predicción 36.12%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.61%36.05%36.19%37.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.562.6941.67%39.18%39.06%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%26.82%26.74%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.453.6533.33%29.29%28.99%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.19%EV -3.27%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.22%EV -3.19%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -2.12%E -0.582%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 09:10
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:55
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.34%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.83%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.93%E -0.809%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 14:45
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.87%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.31%EV -5.00%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 14:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:34
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:30
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:30
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.35%EV -6.80%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:55
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -5.87%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -7.52%E -2.94%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.68%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 14:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:56
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.35%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:40
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:35
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:55
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:35
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 14:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.20%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 14:55
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:31
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.31%E -4.26%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.05%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.05%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.80%E -4.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 06:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.80%E -4.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.08%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 06:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.80%E -4.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.50%E -4.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 14:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -11.80%E -4.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 14:40
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.91%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -7.89%E -3.09%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -12.91%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.91%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-03 14:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -9.69%E -3.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 06:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.30%E -5.54%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.26%EV -17.35%E -7.78%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.61%EV -8.61%E -3.40%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.73%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-03 14:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.95%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-03 14:50