La escuela de los momios

Kristiansund BK v Fredrikstad FK

Inicio: 2026-04-19 15:04 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 2–0 Fredrikstad FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 31.63%3.16momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.27%31.66%31.66%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.862.853.0939.22%34.98%35.09%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Predicción 42.15%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.85%42.12%42.18%43.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.2950.00%45.72%45.45%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.22%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.382%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%26.22%26.16%27.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.8032.26%28.72%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -2.26%E -0.731%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.48%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.00%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 14:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.53%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 15:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.53%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 14:59
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.53%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 14:59
Coolbet3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%EV -4.16%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.40%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.382%E -0.101%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 14:59
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -4.16%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.31%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:59
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:01
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:00
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -6.06%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.13%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 15:00
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -7.00%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.21%EV -6.84%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.15%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 14:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 15:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 15:01
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 14:55
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:01
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 15:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:59
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:59
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 15:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -1.69%E -0.451%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 15:01
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:01
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.71%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.77%EV -15.69%E -7.85%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.52%EV -10.08%E -2.94%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 14:59
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 15:01
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 15:01
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:59
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.59%E -6.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.69%E -7.85%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.73%E -6.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-19 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 15:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 15:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 14:59
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 15:00
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 15:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.59%E -6.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.80%E -4.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 15:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -14.60%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 15:01
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.22%EV -19.34%E -7.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 41.12%EV -13.16%E -6.39%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.67%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 15:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-19 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-19 15:01
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-04-19 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41%2.2%2026-04-19 15:01
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%3.9%2026-04-19 15:01