La escuela de los momios

Kristiansund BK v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 9.08%11.01momio equitativo
EV +13.50%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.159%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.54%9.16%9.01%12.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.9110.0012.5013.33%10.09%10.00%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 77.36%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -13.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.05%77.39%77.28%79.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2587.72%83.20%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.56%7.38momio equitativo
EV +9.15%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.119%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.01%13.45%13.71%15.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.666.508.0518.18%15.02%15.38%12.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +13.50%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.159%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.59%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -7.80%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 14:25
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +13.50%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.159%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.59%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -7.80%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 14:25
Coolbet12.00I 8.33%NM 8.06%EV +8.96%E +0.747%K +0.815%G +0.073%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.01%EV +9.15%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119%3.4%2026-04-06 14:35
1xBet11.80I 8.47%NM 8.08%EV +7.15%E +0.606%K +0.662%G +0.047%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.46%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +3.73%E +0.487%K +0.560%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Pinnacle11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +4.33%E +0.377%K +0.413%G +0.018%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.14%EV +7.39%E +0.933%K +1.07%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-06 14:35
Marathon Bet11.25I 8.89%NM 8.28%EV +2.15%E +0.191%K +0.210%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.96%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.41%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.76%EV -1.02%E -0.140%K -0.162%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:30
LowVig.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.04%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +5.76%E +0.738%K +0.847%G +0.049%4.6%2026-04-06 14:35
BetOnline.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.04%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +5.76%E +0.738%K +0.847%G +0.049%4.6%2026-04-06 14:35
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:40
FanDuel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.69%E +0.226%K +0.260%G +0.004%7.9%2026-04-06 14:39
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -11.03%E -9.60%K -73.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -0.119%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -11.81%E -10.36%K -84.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 14:40
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -4.66%E -0.444%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.33%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.69%E +0.226%K +0.260%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-06 14:35
Tipico (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -4.66%E -0.444%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.77%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.41%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -7.80%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:35
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -4.66%E -0.444%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:10
GTbets10.01I 9.99%NM 9.53%EV -9.11%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 14:10
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:25
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:25
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:25
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -4.85%E -3.94%K -21.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -4.85%E -3.94%K -21.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:25
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 14:35
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 14:24
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 14:40
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:38
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:34
BetAnything10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:40
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -9.20%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.68%EV -11.81%E -10.36%K -84.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -25.43%E -4.62%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Bovada9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.17%E -5.97%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 14:32
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.06%EV -17.29%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -18.65%E -3.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:25
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -18.65%E -3.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:25
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -18.65%E -3.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 14:24
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -13.74%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 14:35
Codere (IT)9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -14.65%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.19%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -13.22%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -18.28%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 14:10
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -18.28%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.34%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 14:35
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -18.28%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.09%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -21.36%E -3.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 14:24
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -18.28%E -2.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.23%EV -11.03%E -9.60%K -73.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.03%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (FR)8.80I 11.36%NM 9.97%EV -20.10%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -10.26%E -8.85%K -64.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -17.29%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 14:35
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.75%EV -20.55%E -2.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.82%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:40
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV -22.82%E -2.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.34%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.09%E -0.727%K -0.848%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:35
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -27.36%E -3.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 74.99%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -15.26%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 14:35
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -31.90%E -4.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.05%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -31.90%E -4.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.05%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -31.90%E -4.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.05%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:40
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -31.90%E -4.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.05%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Matchbook14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%1.6%2026-04-06 14:35