L’École des cotes

KFUM v Kristiansund BK

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 59.77%1.67cote équitable
EV -5.56%
Avantage -3.52%
Kelly -9.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.74%59.89%59.62%61.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.541.5869.44%65.45%65.15%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.31%5.78cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.256%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.17%17.25%17.36%19.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.275.405.8522.73%18.97%18.52%17.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.438%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%22.86%23.03%23.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.974.004.3027.40%25.19%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +1.24%E +0.213%K +0.256%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 15:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +1.24%E +0.213%K +0.256%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 15:55
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -9.74%E -6.45%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.35%E -0.237%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 15:55
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -2.22%E -0.393%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 16:10
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.81%E -0.875%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -1.45%E -0.336%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:16
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.81%E -0.875%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.81%E -0.875%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 15:50
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:06
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:05
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.95%E -5.16%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.54%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.14%E -6.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -8.27%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.14%E -6.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -8.27%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.14%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -10.01%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 20:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -12.13%E -8.25%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -11.74%E -2.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 15:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 16:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 16:40
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -7.95%E -5.16%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 16:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 15:55
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.88%EV -10.94%E -7.34%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -15.20%E -3.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.21%EV -13.36%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.77%EV -10.94%E -7.34%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -15.20%E -3.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 16:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -13.93%E -9.67%K -31.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.79%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-26 15:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.29%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -20.39%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.74%EV -12.73%E -8.72%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.16%EV -23.85%E -5.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.10%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-26 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 58.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%13.3%2026-07-26 16:00