La escuela de los momios

KFUM v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-07-12 12:30 UTC

Final: KFUM 0–2 Bodø/Glimt

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KFUM (Local)

Predicción 17.31%5.78momio equitativo
EV +0.418%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.16%17.32%17.23%18.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.355.405.8021.28%18.68%18.52%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 62.25%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -5.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.60%62.24%62.25%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.481.481.5672.46%67.55%67.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.44%4.89momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -0.779%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.71%20.44%20.51%21.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.504.504.7523.81%22.23%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +0.418%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.94%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 12:19
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:45
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:44
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:45
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.447%E -0.078%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.49%E -5.78%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 11:29
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV -1.31%E -0.230%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.28%EV -2.89%E -1.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67%EV -3.94%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 12:24
Pinnacle5.68I 17.61%NM 16.99%EV -1.66%E -0.292%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.66%EV -4.14%E -2.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.36%EV -3.13%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 12:20
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 11:44
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 12:19
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.00%E -3.98%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 12:19
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -2.92%E -0.615%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 12:24
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -7.01%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 12:24
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.74%E -6.72%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 11:55
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.12%E -6.24%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 12:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:29
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:44
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.78%E -0.868%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:44
GTbets5.41I 18.48%NM 17.59%EV -6.33%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.81%EV -4.14%E -2.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:05
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:24
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:24
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:25
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -10.08%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 12:24
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -10.08%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 12:24
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -14.10%E -10.21%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -11.10%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 11:44
NordicBet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.37%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.38%E -3.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 12:20
Betsson5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.37%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.38%E -3.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 12:20
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 12:19
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:19
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.08%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 12:24
betano_uk5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.08%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 12:24
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -13.14%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 11:29
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 12:19
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.11%EV -9.74%E -6.72%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.24%EV -9.05%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 12:18
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 12:24
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 12:19
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -12.12%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 12:19
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -11.10%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 12:19
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.60%EV -9.74%E -6.72%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -11.10%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 12:19
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.08%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 12:14
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.16%E -3.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 12:14
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.16%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 12:14
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 12:14
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 12:19
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.76%E -3.74%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-12 12:24
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -18.63%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.76%EV -9.74%E -6.72%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -12.12%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-12 12:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-07-12 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-07-12 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-07-12 12:25
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-07-12 12:25
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-07-12 12:25