La escuela de los momios

IK Start v Molde

Inicio: 2026-04-19 17:17 UTC

Final: IK Start 1–1 Molde

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Start (Local)

Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV +2.77%
Ventaja +0.720%
Kelly +0.972%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.69%26.76%26.72%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.383.8533.33%29.63%29.54%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Molde (Visitante)

Predicción 47.95%2.09momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.05%47.83%47.99%49.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.931.932.0255.87%51.93%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.35%3.94momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.354%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%25.41%25.29%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.504.0032.26%28.31%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV +2.77%E +0.720%K +0.972%G +0.027%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.46%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:14
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.66%EV +0.636%E +0.169%K +0.229%G +0.001%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.61%EV -4.57%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV -4.67%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 17:14
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV +0.102%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -7.46%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV +0.102%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -7.46%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:15
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.23%E -0.333%K -0.457%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:15
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -3.37%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:13
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.99%E -2.82%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 17:14
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.99%E -2.82%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 17:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:15
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.99%E -2.82%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:11
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.93%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.34%EV -5.43%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +1.41%E +0.354%K +0.472%G +0.007%3.6%2026-04-19 17:15
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 17:15
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 17:14
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.92%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:16
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:14
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 17:16
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.92%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 17:14
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.80%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 17:15
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.99%E -2.82%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:16
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 17:15
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.80%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 17:14
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -21.40%E -6.90%K -10.19%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.06%EV -14.17%E -7.91%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.88%EV -10.50%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 17:13
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.66%E -0.962%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:15
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.19%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 17:14
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:14
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:15
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.80%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 17:16
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -13.21%E -7.30%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 17:14
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:15
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:01
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:14
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.73%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:16
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:16
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:16
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:15
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:15
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.53%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 17:16
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.46%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:16
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.46%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:15
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -14.58%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 17:15
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -15.91%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.23%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.80%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 17:15
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -15.91%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -5.05%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -15.07%E -4.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 17:15
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -15.91%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -5.53%E -2.81%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -15.07%E -4.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 17:15
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -15.91%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.33%E -4.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.91%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.13%EV -10.81%E -5.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.26%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -17.25%E -5.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.07%E -4.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 17:16
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -19.92%E -6.64%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.35%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -17.60%E -5.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-19 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-04-19 17:16
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%3.7%2026-04-19 17:16