L’École des cotes

HamKam v Viking FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HamKam (Local)

Prévision 19.90%5.03cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.293%
Kelly +0.364%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.02%19.95%19.77%21.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.544.505.1024.10%22.02%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viking FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.54%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.41%55.45%55.68%56.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.681.671.7665.79%59.52%59.70%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.56%4.07cote équitable
EV +0.709%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.61%24.55%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.704.1031.25%27.03%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV +1.49%E +0.293%K +0.364%G +0.005%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.73%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.75%E -0.437%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 14:33
Pinnacle5.02I 19.92%NM 19.22%EV -0.100%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.77%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.26%E -0.312%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 14:45
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.49%E -0.508%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:49
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.48%E -0.933%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -6.14%E -3.64%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.98%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:45
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -4.48%E -0.933%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -6.70%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -4.48%E -0.933%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -6.70%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:34
1xBet4.79I 20.88%NM 19.86%EV -4.68%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.30%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:55
GTbets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:40
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -6.17%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -6.47%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +0.709%E +0.173%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.5%2026-03-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -6.47%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +0.709%E +0.173%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.47%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.46%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.00%EV -6.14%E -3.64%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.46%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -7.81%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:44
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.46%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -7.81%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:44
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.46%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -7.81%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.46%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.92%E -2.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:55
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:54
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:54
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.81%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -10.45%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -21.40%E -6.69%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -11.44%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.25%E -7.75%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 14:39
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -12.44%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -3.37%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -12.44%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -3.37%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -12.44%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.48%E -2.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.44%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.81%E -4.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -13.43%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -13.43%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:35
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 14:50
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -14.43%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -6.70%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:20
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.56%EV -14.43%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 55.33%EV -15.58%E -10.25%K -29.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.11%EV -17.71%E -5.29%K -7.54%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.42%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.03%E -6.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 20.40%EV -17.41%E -4.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.94%EV -12.81%E -8.16%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.66%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-14 14:55