La escuela de los momios

HamKam v SK Brann

Inicio: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

HamKam (Local)

Predicción 23.39%4.28momio equitativo
EV +5.26%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%23.44%23.38%25.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.804.5028.57%25.82%26.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SK Brann (Visitante)

Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV -0.272%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.295%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.84%51.82%51.98%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.811.801.9259.88%55.36%55.56%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV -0.838%
Ventaja -0.208%
Kelly -0.278%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%24.75%24.63%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.634.0232.26%27.23%27.59%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +5.26%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -1.33%E -0.333%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +5.26%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV -1.33%E -0.333%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 14:30
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.76%E -0.418%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.03%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 14:40
Pinnacle4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.83%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.05%EV -0.838%E -0.208%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 14:35
Coolbet4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%EV -2.46%E -0.590%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -1.33%E -0.333%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:35
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.10%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.80%E -0.974%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 14:40
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.10%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.80%E -0.974%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 14:40
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.10%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.80%E -0.974%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:39
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.10%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -7.54%E -4.24%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:40
GTbets4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.47%EV -3.39%E -1.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.13%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 14:35
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.03%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 14:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:40
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.58%E -4.88%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:40
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.96%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:38
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.80%E -0.974%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 14:34
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:34
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 14:40
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -10.41%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.56%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -11.69%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.05%EV -0.272%E -0.142%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:30
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:09
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -5.47%E -3.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:00
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:30
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.58%E -4.88%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -0.791%E -0.414%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:30
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -0.791%E -0.414%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:30
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -1.31%E -0.690%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:30
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -1.83%E -0.968%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 14:30
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.06%E -4.56%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.96%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.90%EV -12.22%E -7.23%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -12.28%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -23.53%E -7.59%K -11.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 14:25
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -13.45%E -3.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.45%E -3.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.45%E -3.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.45%E -3.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.45%E -3.64%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.62%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.62%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:30
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -14.62%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -4.95%E -2.70%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -14.90%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 14:30
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -14.62%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.66%E -6.20%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 14:35
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -16.96%E -4.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -17.37%E -5.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 14:30
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-06 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-06 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-06 14:35
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-04-06 14:35