La escuela de los momiosHamKam v Lillestrom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HamKam (Local)
Predicción 27.06%3.69momio equitativo
EV +3.12%
Ventaja +0.818%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.95%27.17%26.93%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.303.8133.33%29.87%30.30%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lillestrom (Visitante)
Predicción 47.21%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.868%
Ventaja -0.413%
Kelly -0.789%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.99%47.13%47.32%49.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.962.1054.64%50.84%50.89%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.941%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.330%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%25.70%25.75%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.563.573.8533.33%28.11%28.01%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.95%EV +3.12%E +0.818%K +1.11%G +0.035% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.00%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.09%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV +0.139%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.937%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -0.944%E -0.258%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.28%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -0.941%E -0.244%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.09%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.09%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -8.89%E -4.61%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.51%E -0.937%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.11%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -8.89%E -4.61%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.18%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.53%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 14:47 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| GTbets | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.81%EV -6.90%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.55%EV -0.868%E -0.413%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.64%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.36%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -11.25%E -5.99%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -9.36%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.09%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 14:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -13.61%E -7.44%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -13.39%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.20%E -6.56%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.38%EV -14.21%E -4.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.91%EV -7.48%E -3.81%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 14:38 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -14.75%E -4.68%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -7.00%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.09%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -8.89%E -4.61%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.61%E -7.44%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -18.81%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -18.81%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -22.81%E -7.60%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |