La escuela de los momios

HamKam v KFUM

Inicio: 2026-04-19 15:00 UTC

Final: HamKam 4–0 KFUM

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

HamKam (Local)

Predicción 33.66%2.97momio equitativo
EV +0.644%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.324%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.45%33.58%33.68%34.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.722.702.9939.22%36.78%37.04%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KFUM (Visitante)

Predicción 39.08%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.53%39.14%39.06%40.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.372.382.4946.08%42.23%41.93%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.713%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.51%27.28%27.26%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.95%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.99I 33.44%NM 32.45%EV +0.644%E +0.215%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.60%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.85%E -0.515%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 14:09
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 14:50
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 14:50
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 14:50
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.44%EV -5.08%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -7.85%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 04:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:35
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:30
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 11:15
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.03%EV -6.42%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.03%EV -6.42%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 14:35
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 34.03%EV -6.42%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:44
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:35
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 14:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:10
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:35
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.52%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:40
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.82%EV -8.56%E -3.66%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:55
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:15
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.74%EV -9.79%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.43%EV -15.20%E -7.01%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -10.85%E -3.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.80%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:10
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.80%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.80%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -10.80%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 14:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -11.47%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 14:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.47%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 14:55
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.81%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 14:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:35
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.44%EV -14.17%E -5.56%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.69%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.12%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.73%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-04-19 14:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-19 14:55