La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v Viking FK

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 22.04%4.54momio equitativo
EV +0.271%
Ventaja +0.059%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.86%22.12%22.05%23.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.044.004.5526.67%24.73%25.00%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viking FK (Visitante)

Predicción 54.98%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%54.89%54.93%55.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.701.7663.29%59.00%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.98%4.35momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.719%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%22.99%23.02%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.903.854.2529.41%25.66%25.97%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15%EV +0.271%E +0.059%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.94%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -3.49%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 11:55
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.03%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 08:25
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.03%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 08:25
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.03%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.28%E -5.62%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:10
Pinnacle4.36I 22.94%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.69%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.46%EV -2.57%E -0.606%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:14
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -4.14%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:04
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.52%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.34%E -0.550%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:15
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.49%E -0.830%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:03
GTbets4.28I 23.36%NM 22.07%EV -5.68%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.32%EV -6.93%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 16:44
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.64%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:15
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 14:14
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 14:01
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 14:14
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 01:17
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 00:29
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 03:54
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.73%E -5.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -8.73%E -5.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -10.38%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 09:05
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.28%E -5.62%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.53%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 08:25
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.67%EV -10.75%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.54%EV -13.13%E -8.31%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -11.53%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 14:09
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 14:04
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 20:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 14:01
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.06%EV -13.13%E -8.31%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 14:09
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:00
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:55
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -9.83%E -5.99%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 06:00
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -8.73%E -5.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:55
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.83%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 14:04
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.46%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%EV -11.53%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 14:04
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.16%E -3.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.98%E -4.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 14:05
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 14:09
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 14:09
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -17.27%E -4.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 17:00
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -12.03%E -7.52%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 08:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -12.03%E -7.52%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -12.68%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -21.87%E -6.43%K -9.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 14:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-23 13:34
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-23 23:30