La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bodø/Glimt v Tromso
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bodø/Glimt (Local)
Predicción 66.71%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -8.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.93%66.66%66.87%69.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.391.4476.92%72.52%71.94%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tromso (Visitante)
Predicción 14.48%6.91momio equitativo
EV +8.18%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.103%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.92%14.49%14.44%16.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.256.207.4718.18%15.99%16.13%13.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.81%5.32momio equitativo
EV +3.09%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.62%18.85%18.69%20.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.734.605.4823.81%21.13%21.74%18.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.46%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 12.92%EV +8.18%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.103% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.62%EV +3.09%E +0.563%K +0.689%G +0.021% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +4.27%E +0.593%K +0.688%G +0.029% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.77%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -8.61%E -6.29%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +1.37%E +0.196%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.28%E -8.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.37%E +0.196%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -11.28%E -8.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.37%E +0.196%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.37%E +0.196%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -2.25%E -0.333%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.93%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.17%EV -2.97%E -0.444%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.90%EV -10.27%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.28%E -3.72%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.08%EV -2.97%E -0.444%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.77%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 13.87%EV -3.12%E -0.466%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.83%EV -11.96%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.66%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.25%EV -4.42%E -0.670%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.18%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.66%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.25%EV -4.42%E -0.670%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.18%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.66%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.25%EV -4.42%E -0.670%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.18%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.28%E -3.72%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -10.61%E -7.92%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -13.28%E -10.22%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.25%EV -13.28%E -10.22%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.25%EV -5.87%E -0.903%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -20.99%E -5.00%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -5.94%E -4.21%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -8.61%E -6.29%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -10.21%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -11.28%E -8.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.28%E -8.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.35%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.80%EV -12.61%E -9.63%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -13.11%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.03%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -14.56%E -2.47%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.03%EV -11.28%E -8.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -14.56%E -2.47%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.93%EV -7.28%E -5.24%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -18.90%E -3.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -17.23%E -3.92%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.02%EV -13.28%E -10.22%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.09%EV -18.90%E -3.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.89%EV -20.05%E -4.72%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.13% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.05% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.48% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |