La escuela de los momios

Bodø/Glimt v SK Brann

Inicio: 2026-05-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 3–1 SK Brann

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Predicción 73.31%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -10.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.95%73.36%73.33%74.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.261.261.3281.97%79.07%79.37%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SK Brann (Visitante)

Predicción 11.80%8.48momio equitativo
EV +9.71%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.114%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.31%11.70%11.76%13.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.787.789.3015.38%12.86%12.86%10.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.89%6.71momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +0.709%
Kelly +0.826%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.60%14.94%14.91%17.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.936.007.0520.00%16.88%16.67%14.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.64%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.43%EV +9.71%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.114%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV -3.19%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 08:00
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.71%EV -7.63%E -6.06%K -29.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV +7.35%E +0.808%K +0.908%G +0.067%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.94%EV -6.17%E -0.980%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:40
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.71%EV -7.63%E -6.06%K -29.35%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV +7.35%E +0.808%K +0.908%G +0.067%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.94%EV -6.17%E -0.980%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +6.17%E +0.686%K +0.771%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 13:30
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.90%E -5.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +4.99%E +0.561%K +0.632%G +0.032%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.36%EV -1.26%E -0.190%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:49
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.59%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV +1.45%E +0.169%K +0.191%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -4.68%E -0.732%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 13:39
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +0.273%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 13:30
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.90%EV -6.16%E -4.82%K -22.01%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.50%EV -1.61%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.60%EV +5.00%E +0.709%K +0.826%G +0.041%4.3%2026-05-24 13:50
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -3.23%E -2.45%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.23I 12.15%NM 11.66%EV -2.91%E -0.354%K -0.403%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 10:10
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.19%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -6.90%E -5.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -3.19%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:29
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 13:39
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 13:50
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 13:49
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 12:20
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 13:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:40
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 72.60%EV -9.83%E -7.99%K -42.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -5.63%E -0.703%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.43%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -7.98%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -7.66%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 13:49
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -8.57%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.92%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.16%E -4.82%K -22.01%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.36%EV -10.34%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -1.70%E -0.258%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.16%E -4.82%K -22.01%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.36%EV -10.34%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -1.70%E -0.258%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 13:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 12:39
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.15%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.15%EV -4.70%E -3.61%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -16.60%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 11:30
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.90%E -5.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 13:40
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -6.16%E -4.82%K -22.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 13:39
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.42%EV -6.90%E -5.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.42%EV -6.90%E -5.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 71.36%EV -7.63%E -6.06%K -29.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -19.58%E -3.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.39%EV -10.56%E -8.66%K -48.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -9.15%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 13:46
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.56%E -8.66%K -48.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 13:40
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -9.83%E -7.99%K -42.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -21.06%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.56%E -8.66%K -48.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -11.52%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -25.53%E -5.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-24 13:40
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.45%EV -7.63%E -6.06%K -29.35%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -12.70%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 13:30
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -14.47%E -2.00%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.92%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.95%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -3.19%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 13:50
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.36%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.36%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.36%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.36%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -8.36%E -6.69%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.36%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.03%EV -10.56%E -8.66%K -48.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -17.42%E -2.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -15.11%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-24 13:39
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.72%EV -9.83%E -7.99%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -23.32%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 13:50
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 70.95%EV -10.56%E -8.66%K -48.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -23.32%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-24 13:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.24%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.19%0.7%2026-05-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.07%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%0.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.07%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%0.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.07%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%0.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.73%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.40%2.2%2026-05-24 13:40