Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 4–2 Rosenborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 71.35%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -8.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.99%71.29%71.34%73.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3680.00%76.88%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.64%7.91cote équitable
EV +8.71%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 8.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.29%12.67%12.65%14.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.237.228.6016.67%13.83%13.84%11.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.00%6.25cote équitable
EV +2.59%
Avantage +0.404%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 6.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.09%16.05%16.01%18.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.625.606.4120.00%17.79%17.86%15.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bodø/Glimt (Local) : 71.35% ; Rosenborg (Visiteur) : 12.64% ; Match nul : 16.00%. Pour Rosenborg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.91. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.60, soit une espérance positive de +8.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.54%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.29%EV +8.71%E +1.01%K +1.15%G +0.100%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%EV +2.43%E +0.380%K +0.450%G +0.011%3.0%2026-08-30 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.65%EV +4.92%E +0.592%K +0.674%G +0.033%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.09%EV +2.59%E +0.404%K +0.479%G +0.012%3.4%2026-08-30 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.52%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV +3.65%E +0.445%K +0.507%G +0.019%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -16.78%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.52%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV +3.65%E +0.445%K +0.507%G +0.019%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -16.78%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +1.12%E +0.141%K +0.161%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 12:12
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.67%E -6.77%K -30.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +1.12%E +0.141%K +0.161%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.97%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -1.40%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -7.17%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -10.09%E -8.01%K -38.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.81%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -5.57%E -0.945%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV -3.93%E -0.517%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -6.37%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 11:35
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.53%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.97%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:05
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 11:38
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -19.98%E -4.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.81%E -8.65%K -43.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.81%E -8.65%K -43.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:05
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -2.96%E -2.17%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.84%EV -5.32%E -0.711%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV -6.53%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 12:15
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.97%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:23
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.41%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.19%EV -8.99%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.39%EV -1.25%E -0.203%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.26%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -8.99%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.26%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -8.99%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.30%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -7.17%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.97%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.97%E -0.662%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -6.53%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 11:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.01%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:04
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -10.81%E -8.65%K -43.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.04%EV -10.09%E -8.01%K -38.82%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.97%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.26%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.43%EV -14.04%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.31%EV -10.37%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -6.53%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -7.97%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -15.18%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 11:35
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -15.18%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.76%EV -8.67%E -6.77%K -30.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.98%E -3.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.81%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -16.78%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.81%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -16.78%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.81%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -16.78%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.57%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -5.57%E -0.945%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:40
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.98%E -3.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.98%E -3.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.98%E -3.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 12:05
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.98%E -3.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -8.67%E -6.77%K -30.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -21.00%E -3.36%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -8.77%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.99%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -24.16%E -4.03%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.97%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.97%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%0.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.97%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%0.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.97%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%0.9%2026-08-30 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-08-30 12:20
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.44%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.18%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%1.6%2026-08-30 12:25