L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 77.03%1.30cote équitable
EV -5.25%
Avantage -4.27%
Kelly -22.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.68%77.09%76.97%79.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.181.191.2390.91%84.58%84.03%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.30%10.75cote équitable
EV +11.64%
Avantage +0.970%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.53%9.16%9.28%11.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.2510.6611.0012.0013.79%9.38%9.09%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.66%7.32cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -0.502%
Kelly -0.585%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.04%13.75%13.75%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.636.757.0618.18%15.08%14.81%14.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 07:05
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 07:05
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 23:25
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 10:09
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.87%E -8.44%K -58.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 16:03
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -11.41%E -9.92%K -76.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV +11.64%E +0.970%K +1.06%G +0.123%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 07:05
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 07:05
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 07:05
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.84%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 07:04
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.84%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 07:05
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.84%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 07:05
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.84%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 07:04
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 78.28%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV +6.99%E +0.608%K +0.666%G +0.047%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 07:05
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.34%E +0.213%K +0.234%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 09:59
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.87%E -8.44%K -58.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV +2.34%E +0.213%K +0.234%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 07:05
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.87%E -8.44%K -58.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV +2.34%E +0.213%K +0.234%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 07:05
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +2.34%E +0.213%K +0.234%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -9.87%E -8.44%K -58.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV +2.34%E +0.213%K +0.234%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -24.86%E -4.52%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-18 16:14
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.34%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%10.84I 9.23%NM 8.70%EV +0.851%E +0.079%K +0.086%G +0.001%6.76I 14.79%NM 13.96%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 00:15
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.57%EV -5.25%E -4.27%K -22.82%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.92%EV -0.451%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.51%EV -3.54%E -0.502%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -6.79%E -5.61%K -32.33%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -4.64%E -0.452%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.78%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 10:09
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 21:20
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 21:19
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 14:45
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -9.87%E -8.44%K -58.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -14.61%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 16:14
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 77.32%EV -15.26%E -13.88%K -152.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.51%EV -6.96%E -0.696%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -18.03%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-14 23:25
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.19%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.84%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -12.55%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.56%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -16.27%E -1.81%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.36%E -0.623%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:40
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.27%E -1.81%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -18.03%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 21:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.52%EV -11.41%E -9.92%K -76.07%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.45%EV -23.71%E -2.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.03%EV -22.12%E -3.88%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.15%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -25.57%E -3.20%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.95%EV -14.61%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 21:19
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 73.68%EV -12.18%E -10.69%K -87.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.59%EV -32.55%E -4.49%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.74%EV -22.12%E -3.88%K -4.71%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-14 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-15 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-15 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-15 09:10