L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 1–0 Fredrikstad FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 83.57%1.20cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -4.15%
Kelly -33.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.09%83.57%83.38%85.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.96%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.83%17.15cote équitable
EV +16.65%
Avantage +0.832%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 20.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.83%5.85%5.88%7.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.5015.0315.0020.008.70%6.65%6.67%5.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 10.60%9.44cote équitable
EV +9.13%
Avantage +0.887%
Kelly +0.982%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 10.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.18%10.58%10.74%12.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.258.588.5010.3013.79%11.66%11.76%9.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.51%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.83%EV +16.65%E +0.832%K +0.876%G +0.146%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +5.96%E +0.596%K +0.662%G +0.039%3.5%2026-07-17 17:10
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.85%EV +13.73%E +0.704%K +0.742%G +0.102%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.52%EV -13.12%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 16:49
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.85%EV +13.73%E +0.704%K +0.742%G +0.102%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.52%EV -13.12%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 17:10
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.32%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +10.81%E +0.569%K +0.601%G +0.065%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.658%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%7.5%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 83.56%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV +4.98%E +0.277%K +0.293%G +0.015%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 17:04
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.10%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%17.72I 5.64%NM 5.38%EV +3.35%E +0.189%K +0.200%G +0.007%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.52%EV +6.06%E +0.606%K +0.673%G +0.041%4.9%2026-07-17 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 17:09
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -4.64%E -0.515%K -0.580%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 16:49
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 81.94%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -23.18%E -3.20%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:49
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -13.12%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 17:04
Bet Victor1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 17:08
betano_uk1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -0.850%E -0.050%K -0.053%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 16:44
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -6.68%E -0.418%K -0.446%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV +0.658%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-17 16:59
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV -6.68%E -0.418%K -0.446%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +0.658%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-17 16:39
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.59%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -6.68%E -0.418%K -0.446%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.48%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.91%EV -11.06%E -0.725%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:54
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +5.96%E +0.596%K +0.662%G +0.039%5.2%2026-07-17 16:39
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:45
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:44
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:44
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:40
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:45
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:40
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:44
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:40
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 15:45
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 16:24
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 17:10
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -12.52%E -0.834%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 17:04
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 83.51%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.80%G +0.000%14.84I 6.74%NM 6.36%EV -13.45%E -0.906%K -0.972%G +0.000%9.31I 10.74%NM 10.14%EV -1.35%E -0.146%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 17:04
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.39%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.43%EV -14.26%E -0.970%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.18%EV +9.13%E +0.887%K +0.982%G +0.090%5.8%2026-07-17 17:10
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 83.20%EV -4.73%E -4.15%K -33.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.54%EV -15.43%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV -1.99%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:44
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 83.57%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.75%EV +1.72%E +0.179%K +0.200%G +0.003%6.8%2026-07-17 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.39%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -0.401%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 17:09
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.39%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -0.401%E -0.043%K -0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 17:09
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 83.51%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -1.99%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 17:03
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 83.51%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -1.99%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 17:04
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 15:40
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:55
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 17:09
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.25%EV -8.91%E -8.17%K -98.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -18.35%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.35%EV -16.29%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 17:09
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -6.40%E -5.71%K -53.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -24.18%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -24.18%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -4.64%E -0.515%K -0.580%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 17:09
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -8.07%E -7.34%K -80.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -24.18%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -9.94%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:09
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -24.18%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -20.53%E -2.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 17:00
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -24.18%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -20.53%E -2.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 15:45
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -30.01%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -30.01%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:39
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -30.01%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.24%E -6.52%K -65.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -30.01%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -15.24%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 81.09%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.61%EV -32.93%E -2.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -17.88%E -2.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-07-17 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-07-17 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-07-17 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-07-17 17:05
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.09%23.98I 4.17%NM 4.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.9%2026-07-17 17:10