La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aalesund v SK Brann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aalesund (Local)
Predicción 28.64%3.49momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.471%
Kelly +0.656%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.12%28.52%28.65%29.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.283.253.5534.48%30.45%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SK Brann (Visitante)
Predicción 47.01%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.63%47.11%47.02%49.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.63%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.35%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.866%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.66%24.38%24.33%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.763.804.0030.77%26.56%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +1.67%E +0.471%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| Coolbet | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.66%EV +0.527%E +0.150%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -2.60%E -0.649%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-20 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV +0.240%E +0.069%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -13.03%E -7.04%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -0.905%E -0.262%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.37%EV -3.33%E -0.838%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -1.19%E -0.345%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -13.50%E -7.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -1.19%E -0.345%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -13.50%E -7.34%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -1.19%E -0.345%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -14.44%E -7.94%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.26%EV -3.20%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.68%EV -5.76%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.53%EV -16.32%E -9.17%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| GTbets | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.28%EV -4.91%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.83%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.27%E -4.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -10.21%E -5.35%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 17:48 |
| Everygame | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 17:49 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.21%E -5.35%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -10.36%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -11.62%E -6.18%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.95%EV -9.17%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 17:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.21%E -5.35%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.97%E -7.64%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -20.86%E -6.42%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.87%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.09%E -6.47%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%EV -15.51%E -5.26%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.35%EV -10.68%E -5.62%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.50%EV -16.94%E -5.84%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.74%EV -13.97%E -7.64%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |