L’École des cotes

SC Telstar v PSV Eindhoven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Prévision 17.72%5.64cote équitable
EV +6.29%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.85%17.67%17.75%19.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.305.306.0021.74%18.85%18.87%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PSV Eindhoven (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.66%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.35%63.69%63.60%66.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.451.451.5376.92%69.01%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.62%5.37cote équitable
EV +4.09%
Avantage +0.732%
Kelly +0.891%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.40%18.64%18.65%21.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.035.005.5925.00%19.88%20.00%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +6.29%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.079%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.24%E -0.427%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:38
NordicBet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.27%EV +3.64%E +0.622%K +0.750%G +0.027%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:00
Betsson5.85I 17.09%NM 16.27%EV +3.64%E +0.622%K +0.750%G +0.027%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:00
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +2.75%E +0.474%K +0.573%G +0.016%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -5.03%E -0.987%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:38
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +1.87%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.51%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +2.41%E +0.439%K +0.537%G +0.013%3.1%2026-03-22 15:40
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +1.87%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.51%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +2.41%E +0.439%K +0.537%G +0.013%3.1%2026-03-22 15:39
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +1.87%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.66%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV +2.41%E +0.439%K +0.537%G +0.013%3.6%2026-03-22 15:39
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +1.87%E +0.324%K +0.393%G +0.007%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 13:59
1xBet5.62I 17.79%NM 17.31%EV -0.438%E -0.078%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.29%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.40%EV +4.09%E +0.732%K +0.891%G +0.036%2.8%2026-03-22 15:40
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -0.792%E -0.141%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV +0.552%E +0.102%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-22 15:39
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -0.792%E -0.141%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV +0.552%E +0.102%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-22 15:39
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.24%E -0.427%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 14:49
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.31%E -0.247%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:39
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.31%E -0.247%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:40
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -8.96%E -6.27%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.31%E -0.247%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:40
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:39
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.55%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 13:59
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.60%E -6.76%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.31%E -0.247%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:40
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.60%E -6.76%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.31%E -0.247%K -0.305%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:39
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.12%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.76%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:39
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.58%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -11.55%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.55%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 14:00
Pinnacle5.48I 18.25%NM 17.60%EV -2.92%E -0.532%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.28%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.12%EV -0.937%E -0.176%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 15:30
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.34%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -4.34%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.37%EV -10.23%E -7.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -2.24%E -0.427%K -0.527%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 15:39
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -4.34%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -12.14%E -8.80%K -31.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -3.17%E -0.610%K -0.755%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 15:39
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -4.34%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -12.14%E -8.80%K -31.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -3.17%E -0.610%K -0.755%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 15:40
BetUS5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -6.11%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.99%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.10%E -0.797%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 15:40
BetAnything5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -6.11%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.99%EV -6.41%E -4.36%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.10%E -0.797%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 15:40
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -6.11%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.91%EV -7.05%E -4.83%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -5.96%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 13:58
BetOnline.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.33%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -2.24%E -0.427%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 13:59
LowVig.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.33%EV -3.23%E -2.13%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -2.24%E -0.427%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 13:59
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 13:59
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.22%EV -5.14%E -3.45%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 15:00
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.61%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -5.03%E -0.987%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 15:35
BetRivers5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.17%E -0.610%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:59
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:00
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.59%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 08:00
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.59%E -1.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.50%E -3.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 08:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.78%E -3.90%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 13:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 15:40
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.82%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.63%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.56%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 15:25
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -11.55%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 15:19
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -14.34%E -3.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -10.87%E -7.77%K -27.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -25.52%E -6.38%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 15:40
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.72%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.29%EV -17.24%E -13.26%K -57.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.99%EV -18.07%E -4.11%K -5.31%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:39
Fliff4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -12.31%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -7.83%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -13.19%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.05%EV -7.69%E -5.30%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -6.90%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -13.19%E -2.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.19%EV -11.51%E -8.28%K -29.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.89%EV -13.41%E -2.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 15:20
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 15:39
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 15:39
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 15:40
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.66%EV -12.78%E -9.33%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -10.62%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 15:28
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.25%EV -8.32%E -5.78%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.55%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 15:14
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.25%EV -10.23%E -7.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -12.48%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.5%2026-03-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.65%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.9%2026-03-22 15:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.65%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.9%2026-03-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.65%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.9%2026-03-22 15:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%2.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.23%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-22 15:40