Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Cambuur v Feyenoord

Inicio: 2026-08-23 14:45 UTC

Final: SC Cambuur 2–5 Feyenoord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Predicción 8.76%11.41momio equitativo
EV +13.94%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.162%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.30%8.80%8.70%10.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.9511.0013.0011.76%9.13%9.09%7.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 77.36%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -13.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.09%77.38%79.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.221.2587.72%82.60%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 13.87%7.21momio equitativo
EV -0.814%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.34%14.11%13.92%16.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.436.507.1517.54%15.56%15.38%13.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SC Cambuur (Local): 8.76%; Feyenoord (Visitante): 77.36%; Empate: 13.87%. Para SC Cambuur (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.41. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 13.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.94%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +13.94%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.162%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.61%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +13.94%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.162%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.61%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +13.94%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.162%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.75%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 14:40
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +13.94%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.162%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:05
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +13.94%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.162%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:04
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV +9.56%E +0.764%K +0.831%G +0.079%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.21%EV -4.84%E -3.94%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -13.30%E -2.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:40
NordicBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +9.56%E +0.764%K +0.831%G +0.079%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.80%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -20.93%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 14:35
Betsson🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +9.56%E +0.764%K +0.831%G +0.079%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.80%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -20.93%E -3.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 14:35
Coolbet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +5.17%E +0.431%K +0.470%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -6.36%E -0.943%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +5.17%E +0.431%K +0.470%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.82%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -15.38%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:40
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +5.17%E +0.431%K +0.470%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.82%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -15.38%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:40
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +5.17%E +0.431%K +0.470%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.82%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -15.38%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 14:40
PlayUp🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +5.17%E +0.431%K +0.470%G +0.024%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -20.23%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 14:35
1xBet🎯11.90I 8.40%NM 8.15%EV +4.30%E +0.361%K +0.394%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.57%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.28%EV -5.81%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +0.791%E +0.069%K +0.075%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:05
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +0.791%E +0.069%K +0.075%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.37%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 14:40
SportsBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +0.791%E +0.069%K +0.075%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:10
Pinnacle🎯11.38I 8.79%NM 8.43%EV -0.260%E -0.023%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -4.84%E -3.94%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.57%EV -1.92%E -0.272%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.48%EV -1.40%E -0.124%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.34%EV -0.814%E -0.114%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.48%EV -1.40%E -0.124%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.34%EV -0.814%E -0.114%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:15
BetAnything🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.48%EV -1.40%E -0.124%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.34%EV -0.814%E -0.114%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:15
BetUS🎯11.15I 8.97%NM 8.50%EV -2.28%E -0.204%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.67%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.83%EV -4.98%E -0.726%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 14:40
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -5.67%E -0.834%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.87%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.64%EV -4.98%E -0.726%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -5.67%E -0.834%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 14:10
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -9.48%E -8.11%K -55.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -3.59%E -0.326%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.30%EV -11.81%E -10.36%K -84.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:35
DraftKings🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:30
Bovada🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.36%E -0.943%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:38
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -19.54%E -3.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:33
FanDuel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -19.54%E -3.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 14:35
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -19.54%E -3.37%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.74%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -20.23%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.74%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -20.23%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.74%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -20.23%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -7.97%E -0.759%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -9.48%E -8.11%K -55.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 14:30
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 14:35
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -6.36%E -0.943%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 14:35
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.89%E -0.414%K -0.482%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.62%E -4.60%K -25.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:25
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:10
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.35%EV -12.61%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -12.36%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.09%EV -10.26%E -8.84%K -64.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -11.22%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.36%EV -14.55%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.04%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -13.30%E -2.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.74%E -1.76%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -9.48%E -8.11%K -55.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -16.77%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 14:40
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -21.12%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -21.12%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.42%EV -7.94%E -6.67%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -6.36%E -0.943%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -25.50%E -3.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.74%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -9.83%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.95%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%0.9%2026-08-23 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%0.9%2026-08-23 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Matchbook◎14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.61%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34%1.3%2026-08-23 14:40
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-08-23 14:30