L’École des cotes

Heracles Almelo v FC Volendam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Heracles Almelo (Local)

Prévision 44.09%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.755%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%44.09%44.02%45.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.112.102.2350.51%47.42%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Volendam (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.92%3.23cote équitable
EV +0.476%
Avantage +0.146%
Kelly +0.211%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.85%30.82%30.96%31.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.023.2536.36%33.13%33.11%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV -0.765%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.258%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%25.09%25.02%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.603.9732.26%27.34%27.78%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.68%E -0.755%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%EV +0.476%E +0.146%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.33%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.68%E -0.755%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%EV +0.476%E +0.146%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.33%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%EV +0.476%E +0.146%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 10:39
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.62%E -0.830%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -4.77%E -2.21%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.62%E -0.830%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:40
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.62%E -0.830%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:39
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.62%E -0.830%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:39
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.62%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.85%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.53%EV -2.26%E -0.579%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 06:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.76%E -0.978%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 04:14
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 04:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 04:14
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 14:34
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 10:40
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -6.97%E -3.31%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.98%EV -5.09%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -0.765%E -0.193%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 03:05
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.27%E -0.320%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:19
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.27%E -0.320%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 07:19
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 16:34
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -8.30%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.76%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:34
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -8.30%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.76%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:34
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -8.30%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.76%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:35
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.86%E -3.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 06:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 21:55
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.08%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:30
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.79%EV -7.86%E -3.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.51%E -0.645%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 03:07
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 44.79%EV -7.86%E -3.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.51%E -0.645%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:24
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 44.79%EV -7.86%E -3.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.51%E -0.645%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 21:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 20:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:34
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 12:35
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 21:55
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.71%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -10.51%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 16:34
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 16:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 07:24
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02%EV -8.30%E -3.99%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 07:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 03:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 03:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 03:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 03:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 12:33
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 02:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:54
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 06:45
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -22.51%E -7.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.59%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.39%EV -14.98%E -5.45%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.02%EV -13.76%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%3.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%3.6%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%3.6%2026-04-24 01:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%3.9%2026-04-24 00:29
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%6.7%2026-04-23 13:50