L’École des cotes

Fortuna Sittard v FC Zwolle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Score final : Fortuna Sittard 3–2 FC Zwolle

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 43.23%2.31cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.65%43.27%43.20%44.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.44%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zwolle (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.71%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.410%
Kelly +0.588%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.35%30.73%30.71%32.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.003.3037.04%33.05%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.355%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.00%26.09%27.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.553.8032.26%28.18%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +1.35%E +0.410%K +0.588%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 10:19
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -1.41%E -0.440%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -3.08%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.72%E -0.537%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.72%E -0.537%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.31%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.95%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.73%EV -1.43%E -0.627%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%EV -3.26%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.33%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -3.26%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:35
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -3.26%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:35
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.62%EV -6.62%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -4.18%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.14%EV -4.18%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:31
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.30%E -0.612%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -0.994%E -0.261%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.62%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.06%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -9.33%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.10%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:25
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:23
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:34
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.51%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:24
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.973%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:23
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:34
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.51%E -5.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -8.03%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:32
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.86%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 14:24
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 14:25
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -10.93%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.93%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -10.93%E -3.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -12.47%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -17.08%E -6.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -19.23%E -6.20%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-05-10 14:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-05-10 14:34