La escuela de los momiosFC Zwolle v Ajax
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Zwolle (Local)
Predicción 24.36%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.118%
Ventaja -0.029%
Kelly -0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.41%24.38%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.843.884.1029.41%26.01%25.77%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ajax (Visitante)
Predicción 51.85%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.70%51.85%51.76%53.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.791.801.8760.98%55.96%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV -0.101%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.81%23.74%23.85%24.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.943.984.2028.57%25.36%25.13%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.118%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.101%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.118%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.101%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.118%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.101%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.08%EV -7.18%E -4.01%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -2.48%E -0.605%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 10:30 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.48%E -0.605%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -3.04%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -5.33%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -3.67%E -0.906%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -2.48%E -0.605%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -2.48%E -0.605%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -2.48%E -0.605%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -10.29%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -7.71%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:48 |
| DraftKings | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetUS | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -11.33%E -6.63%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -11.33%E -6.63%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| William Hill | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 10:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -12.37%E -7.32%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -10.35%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.06%EV -7.71%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 10:57 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.51%EV -14.44%E -8.75%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.42%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.72%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.26%EV -14.96%E -9.12%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -16.75%E -4.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84% | 2.3% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |