L’École des cotes

FC Volendam v Heerenveen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 10:15 UTC

Score final : FC Volendam 0–2 Heerenveen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV +2.08%
Avantage +0.632%
Kelly +0.906%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%30.87%30.94%32.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.3036.36%32.86%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Heerenveen (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.12%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.20%44.24%44.15%46.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2252.36%47.71%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.95%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.468%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.156%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%24.90%24.91%26.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.703.9931.25%26.92%27.03%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV +2.08%E +0.632%K +0.906%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.89%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.47%E -0.371%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 10:05
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +2.08%E +0.632%K +0.906%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.75%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 10:06
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +2.08%E +0.632%K +0.906%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.75%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 10:06
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -1.01%E -0.315%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -8.23%E -3.96%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.01%E -0.315%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -8.67%E -4.19%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:05
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.01%E -0.315%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.11%E -4.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:05
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -1.01%E -0.315%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.11%E -4.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:06
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.01%E -0.315%K -0.459%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 09:51
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:05
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -10.00%E -4.90%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 10:05
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -10.00%E -4.90%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 10:05
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.27%EV -4.46%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 10:06
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 10:09
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 09:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 09:51
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:01
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 09:50
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -10.88%E -5.38%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -10.88%E -5.38%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:05
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:06
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:05
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:05
1xBet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.60%EV -5.03%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.09%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.31%EV -0.468%E -0.117%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 10:06
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -5.03%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.15%EV -13.08%E -6.64%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 09:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -2.05%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%EV -2.05%E -0.925%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:11
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 10:00
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:10
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:11
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:10
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.27%EV -6.02%E -2.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:05
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.20%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 10:10
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 10:11
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 10:01
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 10:01
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:01
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:06
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:06
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 10:11
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 10:11
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 10:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -15.73%E -8.24%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -20.17%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-03 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 10:01
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -12.76%E -4.53%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.44%E -3.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 10:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.76%E -5.88%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94%0.1%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-03 10:10