La escuela de los momios

FC Volendam v Groningen

Inicio: 2026-03-01 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Predicción 25.86%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.439%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.154%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.64%25.83%25.95%27.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.643.8530.30%27.52%27.47%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Groningen (Visitante)

Predicción 48.31%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.93%48.35%48.25%50.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.921.932.0057.47%52.08%51.81%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.664%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%25.83%25.81%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.583.603.8031.75%27.97%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -0.439%E -0.114%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.92%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:39
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -0.439%E -0.114%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.92%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:39
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -0.439%E -0.114%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.92%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:39
1xBet3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -1.22%E -0.318%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.94%EV -4.34%E -2.19%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.70%EV -2.63%E -0.699%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 13:19
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.73%E -0.456%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.73%E -0.456%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 12:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -1.73%E -0.456%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 00:39
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 19:10
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.63%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 12:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 07:23
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:40
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:39
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:40
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.24%E -3.77%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 12:40
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.20%E -4.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 12:39
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.80%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.29%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.75%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 13:34
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.20%E -4.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:45
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:39
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:39
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -5.31%E -2.71%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 01:34
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -7.24%E -3.77%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:40
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:39
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:39
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -7.54%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:04
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -5.31%E -2.71%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:19
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -5.31%E -2.71%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:19
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:05
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:03
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 13:18
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:18
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:19
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:04
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:04
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 18:50
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 13:04
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.20%E -4.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:39
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 12:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -12.07%E -6.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -12.07%E -6.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -10.38%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 13:04
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 12:44
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:19
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:19
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.79%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:19
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.49%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.62%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 12:39
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -10.78%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -8.20%E -4.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:00
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -14.00%E -7.87%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-01 13:18
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -13.37%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.27%EV -15.93%E -9.16%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -18.65%E -5.92%K -8.67%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-01 12:39
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.10%E -6.03%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-01 13:04