L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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FC Utrecht v SC Cambuur

2026-11-21 17:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 47.64%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.94%47.60%47.72%49.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.931.942.0156.82%51.71%51.41%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.486%
Avantage -0.137%
Kelly -0.191%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.16%27.94%29.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.303.303.5535.09%30.34%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.672%
Kelly -0.896%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%24.25%24.34%25.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.783.774.0029.41%26.46%26.49%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Utrecht (Local) : 47.64% ; SC Cambuur (Visiteur) : 28.03% ; Match nul : 24.33%. Pour SC Cambuur (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.55, pour une espérance de -0.486% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.05%EV -4.24%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -0.486%E -0.137%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.90%E -0.988%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-09 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -0.486%E -0.137%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.90%E -0.988%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-09 12:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -0.486%E -0.137%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.90%E -0.988%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-09 12:45
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.91%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.02%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.07%EV -3.17%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-09 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 20:50
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-09 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.67%E -2.87%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 20:49
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.29%E -0.953%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.96%EV -3.17%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.69%E -0.672%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.29%E -0.953%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-09 21:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-09 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 20:50
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 20:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 20:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 20:50
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-09 21:46
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.19%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -7.07%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 21:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.08%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:45
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -8.06%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:45
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -8.06%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 12:24
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.53%E -4.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.672%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.35%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%EV -17.31%E -5.87%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-09 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -9.96%E -5.27%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-09 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.42%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-09 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.67%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.96%EV -15.06%E -4.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.42%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 20:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.91%E -5.84%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-09 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.94%EV -11.39%E -6.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -20.11%E -7.06%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.07%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-09 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.64%EV -11.87%E -6.41%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-09 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 47.07%EV -16.15%E -9.18%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.57%EV -18.71%E -6.45%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.37%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-09 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%16.2%2026-11-09 20:50

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