La escuela de los momios

FC Utrecht v Heerenveen

Inicio: 2026-05-21 19:00 UTC

Final: FC Utrecht 3–2 Heerenveen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Predicción 49.37%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.91%49.37%49.50%50.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.881.9657.80%53.36%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Heerenveen (Visitante)

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.67%25.36%25.21%27.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.704.1029.41%27.00%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.461%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%25.27%25.29%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.633.663.9031.25%27.57%27.32%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.54%EV -4.71%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +3.85%E +0.938%K +1.24%G +0.048%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 18:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.54%EV -4.71%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%EV +3.85%E +0.938%K +1.24%G +0.048%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV +3.85%E +0.938%K +1.24%G +0.048%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:30
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.73%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.68%EV -0.965%E -0.247%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -4.62%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 18:50
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%EV -3.23%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -1.22%E -0.312%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.61%EV -4.12%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 18:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -1.22%E -0.312%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -1.22%E -0.312%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -2.49%E -0.645%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -2.49%E -0.645%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -2.49%E -0.645%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -2.49%E -0.645%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:39
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 18:30
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:00
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 18:50
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 12:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 12:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 18:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 18:40
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -7.41%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.19%E -3.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -5.52%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 12:28
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.34%E -0.342%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:50
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:40
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 10:39
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.24%EV -5.20%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 12:30
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:30
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:30
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:30
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -11.62%E -6.49%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 18:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.60%E -0.675%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 10:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 12:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 12:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 18:39
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -4.71%E -2.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-21 18:40
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.57%EV -12.12%E -6.81%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-21 18:40
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.19%E -3.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.70%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 12:30
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.08%EV -9.15%E -4.97%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 12:20
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 12:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -14.58%E -8.43%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -19.04%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-21 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%0.0%2026-05-21 18:50
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%0.5%2026-05-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-05-21 18:50
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-05-21 18:50