La escuela de los momios

FC Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Predicción 56.91%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.44%56.85%57.13%58.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.641.651.7267.57%61.03%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 18.42%5.43momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.85%18.46%18.22%20.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.055.005.7523.26%19.79%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.329%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%24.69%24.65%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.763.804.0029.85%26.63%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.66%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV +5.89%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.073%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 08:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.66%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV +5.89%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.073%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 08:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.85%EV +5.53%E +0.964%K +1.17%G +0.065%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.68%EV -7.24%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 12:59
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:00
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 11:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.41%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV -0.552%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 12:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.41%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV -0.552%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.41%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV -0.552%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 12:49
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -0.552%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 12:49
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.16%EV -2.58%E -0.487%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -7.73%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 04:29
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.23%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 12:50
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.38%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 12:50
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.66%E -4.06%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.66%E -4.06%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -6.66%E -4.06%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 09:40
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.20%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.20%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -5.16%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -10.20%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 12:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -4.39%E -2.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -1.31%E -0.329%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 04:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 04:30
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 11:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.22%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 12:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 12:50
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.61%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 12:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 09:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 09:39
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.31%E -0.329%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.32%EV -13.49%E -8.88%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 04:30
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:59
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -12.42%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 11:00
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 09:40
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.93%EV -15.77%E -10.66%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.93%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.15%EV -17.35%E -5.18%K -7.38%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -12.35%E -8.02%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.01%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -15.29%E -3.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -2.55%E -0.645%K -0.864%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 12:49
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -16.12%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 11:53
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.22%EV -11.22%E -7.19%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -20.81%E -4.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-22 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-22 13:00
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-03-22 12:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-22 10:00