La escuela de los momios

FC Utrecht v FC Zwolle

Inicio: 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Predicción 58.53%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.35%58.53%58.49%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.591.601.6770.42%62.77%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Predicción 18.57%5.38momio equitativo
EV +4.95%
Ventaja +0.876%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.98%18.50%18.65%20.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.055.005.6523.26%19.79%20.00%17.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -0.833%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.27%22.97%22.86%24.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.004.004.2529.41%24.98%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.76%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.13%EV +4.95%E +0.876%K +1.06%G +0.053%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -4.08%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 13:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +2.16%E +0.393%K +0.480%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 13:13
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +2.16%E +0.393%K +0.480%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 13:25
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.57%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.61%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.399%G +0.007%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.82%EV -3.16%E -0.748%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.26%EV -2.25%E -1.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +0.303%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 13:09
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +0.303%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 13:09
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -2.25%E -1.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -1.55%E -0.293%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 12:40
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -2.25%E -1.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -1.55%E -0.293%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -2.71%E -0.637%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 13:09
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -2.71%E -0.637%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 13:09
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.85%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 13:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 13:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:10
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.48%E -0.473%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -4.01%E -2.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.28%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 13:09
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -4.59%E -2.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:39
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 13:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 13:10
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 13:10
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 13:24
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 13:25
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.41%E -0.656%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 13:25
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.03%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.27%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:40
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.27%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 13:24
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -5.27%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 13:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -5.27%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -5.27%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.85%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.85%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:19
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.85%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.85%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 13:20
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 13:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 13:09
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 13:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 13:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 13:09
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:39
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 13:25
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.44%E -6.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 13:10
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -8.98%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.71%E -0.637%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 13:25
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -8.98%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.71%E -0.637%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 13:24
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -8.98%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 13:24
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -9.91%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 13:25
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 13:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 13:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -10.44%E -6.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 13:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 13:24
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.43%EV -10.44%E -6.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.75%EV -10.03%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 13:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.05%EV -9.86%E -6.40%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 13:20
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 58.94%EV -16.88%E -11.89%K -40.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.81%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.25%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.76%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-22 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -7.52%E -4.76%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 13:14
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -12.20%E -8.13%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.35%EV -12.20%E -8.13%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -16.41%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.86%EV -22.17%E -6.52%K -9.24%G +0.000%18.3%2026-02-22 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -9.86%E -6.40%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -20.13%E -4.68%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 13:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-02-22 13:25
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-02-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-02-22 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-02-22 13:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-02-22 13:19