L’École des cotes

FC Twente Enschede v Sparta Rotterdam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Score final : FC Twente Enschede 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prévision 68.66%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.52%68.65%68.67%71.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.351.4477.52%74.18%74.07%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sparta Rotterdam (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.57%7.37cote équitable
EV +15.34%
Avantage +1.80%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.314%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.41%13.54%13.53%15.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.807.177.308.5017.24%13.94%13.70%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.77%5.63cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.194%
Kelly +0.236%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.84%17.80%17.80%20.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.165.205.6923.81%19.37%19.23%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +15.34%E +1.80%K +2.04%G +0.314%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -0.494%E -0.088%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.64%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -4.05%E -0.750%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.64%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -4.05%E -0.750%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.83%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:24
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.83%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:24
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -11.43%E -8.86%K -39.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -11.43%E -8.86%K -39.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:24
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -11.43%E -8.86%K -39.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +8.55%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.104%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.99%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.16%EV +6.92%E +0.879%K +1.01%G +0.070%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.84%EV +1.10%E +0.194%K +0.236%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV +5.84%E +0.749%K +0.859%G +0.050%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -5.83%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +5.16%E +0.666%K +0.764%G +0.039%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.27%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.27%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 13:29
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.49%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:31
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -8.49%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:34
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 14:33
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.77%E +0.236%K +0.272%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 10:19
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -1.13%E -0.782%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV -0.268%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.44%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.68%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.98%EV -0.946%E -0.130%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -12.93%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.68%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.98%EV -0.946%E -0.130%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -12.93%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -2.30%E -0.320%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.37%E -7.10%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 09:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -5.02%E -0.717%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -15.60%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -6.37%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.60%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:34
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -5.25%E -3.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -8.41%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -13.82%E -2.85%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.35%EV -10.44%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -4.05%E -0.750%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -2.27%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:34
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -2.27%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.71%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.25%E -3.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -2.27%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:49
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 10:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 10:19
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -11.80%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -18.26%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.70%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -15.19%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.38%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:32
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.54%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.49%EV -15.87%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -3.87%E -2.77%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:34
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.52%EV -10.74%E -8.26%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%EV -18.59%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -25.37%E -6.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.41%EV -7.31%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -19.94%E -3.38%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -5.83%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.94%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -21.30%E -3.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -9.38%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-05-10 14:35
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.36%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-05-10 14:34