默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Twente Enschede v ADO Den Haag

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 14:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Twente Enschede 2–0 ADO Den Haag

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Twente Enschede (主队)

预测 76.73%1.30公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -3.27%
Kelly -16.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
74.08%76.62%76.82%79.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.16%81.97%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

ADO Den Haag (客队)

预测 9.12%10.96公平赔率
EV +18.61%
优势 +1.43%
Kelly +1.55%
增长率 +0.289%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.30%9.12%9.05%10.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.2610.0013.0011.76%9.75%10.00%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.14%7.07公平赔率
EV +0.975%
优势 +0.137%
Kelly +0.159%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 7.14

博彩公司预测分布
13.33%14.26%14.13%16.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.466.507.1417.39%15.47%15.38%14.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Twente Enschede (主队):76.73%;ADO Den Haag (客队):9.12%;平局:14.14%。 对于“ADO Den Haag (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.96。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.00,对应+18.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +18.61%E +1.43%K +1.55%G +0.289%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +18.61%E +1.43%K +1.55%G +0.289%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +9.49%E +0.791%K +0.862%G +0.082%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.67%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +9.49%E +0.791%K +0.862%G +0.082%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -18.68%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.67%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +9.49%E +0.791%K +0.862%G +0.082%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -18.68%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV +4.92%E +0.428%K +0.469%G +0.023%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV +4.92%E +0.428%K +0.469%G +0.023%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.85%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV +2.64%E +0.235%K +0.258%G +0.007%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -4.54%E -0.673%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.21%G +0.000%11.02I 9.07%NM 8.68%EV +0.545%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.19%EV -4.68%E -0.695%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -4.54%E -0.673%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -4.54%E -0.673%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.61%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 14:44
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.362%E +0.033%K +0.036%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:26
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.20%E -0.400%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:17
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -9.49%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 14:34
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -8.76%E -0.876%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 14:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.86%EV -11.32%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +0.975%E +0.137%K +0.159%G +0.002%4.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -1.00%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.61%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.73%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.73%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.73%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.73%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -9.45%E -8.01%K -52.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.74%EV -8.69%E -7.30%K -45.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.78%EV -13.73%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.57%EV -10.22%E -8.74%K -60.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -9.49%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.40%EV -10.22%E -8.74%K -60.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.19%EV -10.90%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.45%E -8.01%K -52.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.45%E -8.01%K -52.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -13.32%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.24%EV -15.60%E -1.69%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -4.54%E -0.673%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.38%EV -10.22%E -8.74%K -60.12%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.66%EV -15.60%E -1.69%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -9.49%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -17.89%E -1.99%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -17.89%E -1.99%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -17.89%E -1.99%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -15.15%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -22.45%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -4.54%E -0.673%K -0.790%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.58%EV -8.69%E -7.30%K -45.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -22.45%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.08%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -22.45%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -18.68%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.54%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.90%0.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-09-12 14:25