La escuela de los momios

Tijuana v Pumas

Inicio: 2026-02-28 03:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Predicción 43.42%2.30momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.83%43.41%43.43%44.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.3750.00%46.73%46.51%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pumas (Visitante)

Predicción 29.84%3.35momio equitativo
EV -0.038%
Ventaja -0.011%
Kelly -0.016%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%29.80%29.86%32.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.073.103.3535.09%32.62%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV +1.61%
Ventaja +0.423%
Kelly +0.574%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%26.79%26.72%29.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.403.353.8031.75%29.40%29.85%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV +2.91%E +1.23%K +2.12%G +0.062%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.06%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 02:58
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -1.87%E -0.826%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV +1.61%E +0.423%K +0.574%G +0.009%4.0%2026-02-28 03:04
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 02:34
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 02:34
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:04
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:04
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -3.17%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.73%EV -8.39%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 03:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 02:19
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:24
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:24
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:24
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:24
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:23
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 02:24
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -0.933%E -0.281%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.14%E -0.584%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 02:54
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 02:34
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 02:34
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -0.038%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 22:44
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.07%E -0.288%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 03:04
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 02:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 02:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 02:24
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 02:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 02:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 02:24
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 02:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 02:34
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 02:24
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -7.51%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -6.30%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 03:04
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 02:19
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 02:19
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 02:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 23:04
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 02:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 02:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 02:49
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -9.68%E -4.65%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 02:34
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 03:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 02:24
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 02:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 02:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 03:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 02:39
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.98%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 02:49
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 02:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.96%E -5.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 02:24
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.89%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.89%EV -14.36%E -5.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -15.77%E -5.01%K -7.34%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-28 03:02
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-02-28 03:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-02-28 03:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-02-28 03:04
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-02-28 03:04
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-02-28 03:04