L’École des cotes

Tigres v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 65.28%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -7.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.53%65.19%65.18%68.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.401.401.4877.52%71.62%71.43%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.41%6.94cote équitable
EV +15.26%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.333%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.86%14.37%14.51%16.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.696.508.0018.18%14.95%15.38%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.31%4.92cote équitable
EV -0.465%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%20.44%20.30%22.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.494.504.9026.67%22.26%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -9.91%E -7.18%K -26.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +15.26%E +1.91%K +2.18%G +0.333%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -0.465%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 22:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -9.91%E -7.18%K -26.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +15.26%E +1.91%K +2.18%G +0.333%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -0.465%E -0.095%K -0.119%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 22:50
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.39%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.66%EV +9.35%E +1.23%K +1.42%G +0.133%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.95%EV -11.03%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 22:55
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.51%E -0.739%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 22:50
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 22:30
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -11.87%E -8.79%K -33.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.53%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 22:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -13.83%E -10.48%K -43.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +8.06%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.100%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 22:50
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.77%EV +7.34%E +0.985%K +1.14%G +0.083%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.53%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 22:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.45%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.48%EV +3.01%E +0.421%K +0.490%G +0.015%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -2.50%E -0.520%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.45%EV -5.34%E -3.69%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.48%EV +3.01%E +0.421%K +0.490%G +0.015%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -2.50%E -0.520%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +0.852%E +0.122%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 22:50
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -10.57%E -7.71%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +0.852%E +0.122%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 22:55
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -15.79%E -12.24%K -54.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV +0.852%E +0.122%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 22:50
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.82%EV +0.275%E +0.040%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.29%EV -3.72%E -0.784%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 22:50
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.77%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.65%EV -0.013%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 22:30
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 65.66%EV -9.26%E -6.66%K -23.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.83%EV -4.91%E -0.744%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.51%EV -9.61%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 22:55
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.53%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 22:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 22:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 22:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 22:40
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 22:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 22:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.35%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 22:40
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -7.79%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -9.61%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 22:45
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -7.79%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -9.61%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 22:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.95%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.56%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 22:30
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -9.95%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -9.61%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 22:51
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.65%E -4.65%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -9.95%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -9.61%E -2.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.87%EV -9.26%E -6.66%K -23.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -9.95%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -4.53%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.20%EV -11.87%E -8.79%K -33.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -9.95%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.71%EV -13.67%E -3.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 22:50
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.30%E -5.14%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 22:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.59%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 22:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.68%E -3.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 22:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.75%E -4.69%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 22:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.75%E -4.69%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 22:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.75%E -4.69%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.75%E -4.69%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 22:35
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -16.72%E -4.08%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.22%E -8.25%K -31.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -13.56%E -2.26%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.83%E -6.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -11.87%E -8.79%K -33.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -15.00%E -2.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -10.62%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 22:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -17.16%E -2.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 22:40
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.45%EV -4.69%E -3.21%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -20.76%E -3.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.53%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 22:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.76%E -3.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.15%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.76%E -3.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 22:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 66.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%1.6%2026-03-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.73%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%1.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.73%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%1.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.73%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%1.9%2026-03-15 22:50
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.26%2.8%2026-03-15 22:55
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-03-15 22:30