L’École des cotes

Pumas v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 01:02 UTC

Score final : Pumas 4–2 FC Juárez

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 56.49%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.658%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.40%56.34%56.42%59.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.641.651.7566.23%60.88%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.74%4.82cote équitable
EV +8.70%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.178%

avec la cote maximale 5.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.35%20.88%20.94%23.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.354.305.2426.67%23.00%23.26%19.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.77%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -0.561%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%22.78%22.65%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.994.004.3129.41%25.06%25.00%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.35%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.35%EV +8.70%E +1.66%K +2.05%G +0.178%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV -1.86%E -0.431%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 00:59
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +1.65%E +0.336%K +0.422%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.816%E +0.168%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -3.00%E -0.703%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:59
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.25%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.71%EV +0.609%E +0.126%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%EV -5.50%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.03%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.29%EV -1.47%E -0.309%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -3.22%E -0.759%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 01:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.03%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.29%EV -1.47%E -0.309%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -3.22%E -0.759%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 00:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -2.50%E -0.533%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -3.54%E -0.761%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 00:59
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.73%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.58%E -0.995%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.58%E -0.995%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.58%E -0.995%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 00:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.65%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -7.69%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -5.50%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -7.69%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -5.50%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.68%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.51%EV -7.69%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 01:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 00:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.75%E -6.81%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 01:00
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 00:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 00:57
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 00:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.73%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 00:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.18%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -10.18%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -1.72%E -0.986%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -10.80%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 01:00
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -1.72%E -0.986%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -10.80%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 01:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -10.80%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -3.22%E -0.759%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -10.80%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -11.84%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 00:59
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -7.93%E -4.86%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.84%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 00:59
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 00:59
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 01:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 01:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 01:00
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 00:59
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.61%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -11.88%E -7.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 56.92%EV -14.71%E -9.74%K -28.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -12.87%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -14.95%E -3.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -14.95%E -3.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 01:00
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.95%E -3.65%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.54%EV -10.75%E -6.81%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.67%EV -15.99%E -3.95%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 00:59
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.02%E -4.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.02%E -4.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 01:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -17.02%E -4.26%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.85%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.05%EV -17.44%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.47%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 00:59
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -18.06%E -4.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.21%E -5.92%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -22.58%E -6.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-22 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 56.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%4.0%2026-04-22 01:00