La escuela de los momios

Mazatlán FC v Querétaro

Inicio: 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC

Final: Mazatlán FC 1–1 Querétaro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mazatlán FC (Local)

Predicción 32.51%3.08momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.43%32.57%32.49%34.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.792.753.0138.46%35.87%36.36%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Querétaro (Visitante)

Predicción 40.28%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.099%
Ventaja -0.040%
Kelly -0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.18%40.19%40.33%41.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.312.322.4847.62%43.30%43.10%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.420%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.24%27.18%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.6234.72%29.97%29.85%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -2.14%E -0.709%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.14%EV -2.92%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 00:45
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.46%E -0.820%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -1.52%E -0.420%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 00:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.46%E -0.820%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -1.52%E -0.420%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 00:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -2.46%E -0.820%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.11%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -8.32%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:45
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.55%EV -2.79%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.19%EV -7.75%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 23:10
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -5.33%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 00:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.06%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 00:35
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.06%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 00:30
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 00:55
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 21:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 00:31
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.78%EV -9.14%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 00:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.34%E -2.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -3.42%E -0.965%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 00:25
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.34%E -2.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:29
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.34%E -2.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 00:35
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -7.34%E -2.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -6.95%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 00:44
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.34%E -2.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 00:55
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 00:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 00:40
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.13%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 00:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 00:30
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 23:15
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -9.61%E -3.46%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -14.60%E -6.89%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.59%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 00:35
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:25
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:26
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.11%E -0.870%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 00:25
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 00:26
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 00:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 23:25
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 21:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 00:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 00:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 00:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.59%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 00:30
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 00:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 00:49
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 00:50
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.41%E -7.34%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -13.84%E -5.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -4.13%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -13.84%E -5.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -4.13%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 00:40
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.84%E -5.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.59%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 00:25
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -13.84%E -5.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.70%EV -12.59%E -5.80%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -14.49%E -5.51%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.65%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-18 00:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -15.47%E -5.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.77%0.0%2026-04-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-04-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-18 00:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-18 00:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-18 00:55