La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 56.01%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.68%56.00%55.98%57.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.651.7664.52%60.56%60.42%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 19.58%5.11momio equitativo
EV -0.167%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.66%19.57%19.58%20.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.654.705.1023.81%21.53%21.28%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.41%4.10momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.280%
Kelly -0.372%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.29%24.43%24.44%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.704.0530.30%26.91%27.03%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.66%EV -1.42%E -0.805%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.29%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.05%EV -6.26%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| BetUS | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.85%EV -3.10%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.30%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -1.13%E -0.280%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.85%EV -3.10%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.30%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -1.13%E -0.280%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.85%EV -3.10%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.30%EV -6.82%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -1.13%E -0.280%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.17%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.76%EV -4.86%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.07%EV -2.60%E -0.651%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.08%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.08%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.15%EV -1.54%E -0.306%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.85%EV -1.38%E -0.341%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 01:38 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.167%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.00%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.00%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -4.08%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.35%E -0.589%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -6.04%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 01:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -15.24%E -3.52%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.02%E -4.23%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.00%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.35%E -0.589%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.02%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.34%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -8.98%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.47%EV -8.14%E -4.96%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -4.08%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -8.21%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.14%E -4.96%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.00%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -8.14%E -4.96%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.00%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -4.08%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -15.24%E -3.52%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.01%EV -10.94%E -6.88%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.20%EV -10.17%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 01:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -11.50%E -7.28%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-22 01:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.74%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -15.83%E -3.68%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-22 01:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.40%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.72%EV -15.24%E -3.52%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-22 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -13.18%E -8.50%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.18% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.09% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.2% | 2026-05-22 01:50 |