La escuela de los momios

Atlético San Luis v Pachuca

Inicio: 2026-03-14 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.906%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%31.66%31.42%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.852.853.2739.22%35.14%35.09%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pachuca (Visitante)

Predicción 40.47%2.47momio equitativo
EV +0.378%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.255%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.23%40.39%40.54%43.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.302.302.4847.17%43.53%43.48%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.04%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.51%27.95%28.04%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5134.72%30.23%30.30%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV +2.96%E +0.906%K +1.30%G +0.039%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.23%EV -10.15%E -4.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -1.87%E -0.533%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 22:55
LowVig.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.87%EV -1.45%E -0.462%K -0.679%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.27%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 17:24
BetOnline.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.87%EV -1.45%E -0.462%K -0.679%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.27%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 17:25
Coolbet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.50%EV -1.76%E -0.565%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.49%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -8.03%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -2.39%E -0.771%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -1.58%E -0.452%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 22:55
GTbets3.01I 33.22%NM 31.05%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 21:24
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 12:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 21:15
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:24
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.17%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.72%E -3.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:15
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.17%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.72%E -3.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:15
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.48%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.67%EV -7.72%E -3.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -3.67%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 22:46
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.72%E -3.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:45
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 21:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.98%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 22:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.98%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.98%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 22:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.98%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 22:55
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -9.63%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -9.63%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 17:25
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.87%E -0.533%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 22:44
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.93%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 22:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -11.84%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -1.87%E -0.533%K -0.746%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 22:45
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.84%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.98%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 17:20
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -11.84%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.40%EV -12.17%E -5.61%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 22:33
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.378%E +0.152%K +0.255%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.87%E -0.533%K -0.746%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 22:05
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.378%E +0.152%K +0.255%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.87%E -0.533%K -0.746%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 22:05
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 22:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -13.41%E -4.88%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.64%EV -14.36%E -5.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.60%EV -14.19%E -6.69%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 22:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 22:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 22:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.99%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -19.25%E -6.68%K -10.24%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-14 19:20
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -16.56%E -6.25%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -16.56%E -6.25%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -3.67%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -16.56%E -6.25%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -3.67%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.07%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 22:10
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -18.13%E -6.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -4.88%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 22:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -19.71%E -7.73%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -6.91%E -3.00%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 22:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 22:45
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 22:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-14 22:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-14 22:55