La escuela de los momios

Atlas v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlas 0–0 Tigres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlas (Local)

Predicción 18.25%5.48momio equitativo
EV +4.92%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.75%18.33%18.34%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.814.805.7523.81%20.78%20.83%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 55.41%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.253%
Ventaja -0.141%
Kelly -0.316%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.80%55.33%55.45%56.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.681.671.8065.36%59.48%59.70%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV +0.088%
Ventaja +0.023%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.26%26.34%26.21%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.69%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +4.92%E +0.855%K +1.03%G +0.051%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.34%EV -5.24%E -3.06%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 00:54
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +4.92%E +0.855%K +1.03%G +0.051%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.34%EV -5.24%E -3.06%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 00:54
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.97%EV +2.18%E +0.389%K +0.474%G +0.010%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.25%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:54
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.42%EV -5.24%E -3.06%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.29%EV -3.34%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 00:50
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -1.47%E -0.272%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.79%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 00:50
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -3.30%E -0.622%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:50
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:53
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 00:48
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 00:54
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.24%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 00:54
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -5.12%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:54
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -7.49%E -1.48%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.69%E -2.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV +0.088%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 00:54
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 00:45
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 00:54
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 00:44
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 00:45
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 00:49
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:49
GTbets4.97I 20.12%NM 18.96%EV -9.32%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.79%EV -4.69%E -2.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.25%EV -5.44%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:45
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.68%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.79%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:45
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.68%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.79%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:45
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -10.59%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 00:54
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -10.59%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:54
Unibet (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.06%EV -11.51%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 00:54
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -9.12%E -5.56%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:54
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 00:50
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 00:54
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.85%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 00:54
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.85%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 00:54
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.85%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 00:55
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.33%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 00:45
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -14.24%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.11%EV -15.22%E -9.94%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-23 00:54
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 00:54
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 00:45
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 00:55
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.32%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.66%EV -13.61%E -4.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 00:50
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.26%EV -16.98%E -3.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -1.36%E -0.765%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:50
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -0.253%E -0.141%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:29
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -0.253%E -0.141%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -15.72%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 00:49
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:30
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:30
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -19.72%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:30
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -20.63%E -4.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 00:30
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -20.63%E -4.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -21.54%E -5.01%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -4.69%E -2.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:30
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -21.54%E -5.01%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -4.69%E -2.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:30
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -22.45%E -5.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.79%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 00:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -23.37%E -5.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 00:29
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -23.37%E -5.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-23 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-23 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-23 00:50
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-23 00:50
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%4.2%2026-04-23 00:54